基于HAZOP研究结果的风险评估问题

E. Granovskiy
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引用次数: 0

摘要

HAZOP危险识别方法单独考虑系统的各个部分,其缺点限制了其在结构复杂的技术系统中的应用。在这些情况下,FMEA、FMECA等简化的风险分析方法是不正确的。为了评估复杂系统的风险,建议使用FTA和ETA等方法以及其他更严格的方法进行额外的研究。额外的研究需要大量的时间投入,这通常受到设计时间的限制。使用信息技术可以克服限制。在HAZOP研究过程中,使用FTA和ETA方法作为直接识别危险的方法,可以对HAZOP程序进行补充,分析系统元素的特性与设计目标的偏差、其原因以及整个技术系统中的危险后果。根据HAZOP研究的结果,可以自动构建和分析组合故障树和事件树。为了确定危险事件的允许概率,使用校准的风险图和事故建模结果。对组合故障树和事件树的自动分析将允许考虑解决方案选项,确定受控设备产生的风险,选择系统以实现其一致性降低,并对用于降低风险的安全系统的功能和可靠性提出最佳要求。
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Problems of Risk Assessment Based on the Results of the HAZOP Study
HAZOP hazard identification method, which considers the parts of a system individually, has disadvantages that limit its application to structurally complex technological systems. In these cases, the simplified risk analysis methods such as FMEA, FMECA, etc. cannot be correct. To assess the risk of complex systems, it is recommended to conduct additional studies using the methods such as FTA and ETA, and other more rigorous methods. Additional studies require a significant investment of time, which is often limited by design time. Limitations can be overcome by using the information technology. The use of the FTA and ETA methods as the methods for identifying hazards directly in HAZOP study process allows to supplement HAZOP procedure with an analysis of deviations in the characteristics of the system elements from the design goals, their causes, and hazardous consequences in the entire technological system. It becomes possible, based on the results of HAZOP studies, to automatically build and analyze a combined fault tree and event tree. To determine the permissible probability of a hazardous event, a calibrated risk graph and the results of accident modeling are used. Automated analysis of the combined fault tree and event tree will allow to consider solution options, determine the risk created by the controlled equipment, select the systems for its consistent reduction and optimal requirements for the functions and reliability of safety systems used to reduce the risk.
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来源期刊
Bezopasnost'' Truda v Promyshlennosti
Bezopasnost'' Truda v Promyshlennosti Environmental Science-Environmental Science (miscellaneous)
CiteScore
1.00
自引率
0.00%
发文量
110
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