Assessment of the desertification sensitivity of Northwestern El Minya Governorate, Egypt using MEDALUS model

Desertification leads to a decline in land production, resulting from biophysical interaction and human factors with temporal and spatial changes. This paper aims to evaluate the desertification sensitivity using Mediterranean Desertification and Land Use (MEDALUS) approach in the Northwestern El Minya Governorate in Egypt. The study area is one of the promising and important areas for land reclamation and developmental projects. Four indicators; climate, vegetation, management, and soil, were used in this study. Landsat 8 (OLI) satellite image 2021 was processed to calculate NDVI index to assess vegetation quality index. Then, it was classified into land cover classes to calculate the management quality index. ASTERDEM satellite data and the climate data were used in the climate quality index. Seventy soil samples were collected and analyzed for chemical and physical properties to be used for the retrieval of soil quality index. These indicators were integrated and used as input criteria in the model of desertification sensitivity. The physiographic unit extraction indicated that significant landforms were included in the study area namely; Old wadi Sediments, Peniplain, old river terraces, Shoulders, Sand sheets, Rock outcrops, and Sand dunes, Erosional Plains, Hill and Plain out wash. The obtained results showed that the severely sensitive area to desertification was represented by 86.7 % of the study area. The main factors affecting the sensitivity were climate conditions (arid, semi-arid), low soil quality and management in addition to the low vegetation cover. Furthermore, about 3% of the study area was located in the moderate sensitive class while the low sensitive area exhibits 1.06 %. Present study supports decision makers to reduce the constraining environmental conditions.