荷兰自主创业的动态多项模型

Q3 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Applied Econometrics Pub Date : 2020-01-01 DOI:10.22394/1993-7601-2020-59-5-32

Elisabeth Beusch, A. Soest

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引用次数: 1

摘要

本文提出了一个动态的多项logit模型来解释荷兰微观面板数据，即LISS面板，进入和退出自营职业的过渡。在此基础上，我们模拟了基准个体的就业路径。这些被用来说明财富和养老金收入模型中共同假设的局限性，即个人在退休前保持其观察到的劳动状态。特别是，我们发现，尽管一年从自雇转型的概率不超过10%，但自雇者在未来十年的大部分时间里保持自雇的可能性要小得多，并且随着个人特征(如教育水平和个性)而有很大差异。

本文章由计算机程序翻译，如有差异，请以英文原文为准。

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A dynamic multinomial model of self-employment in the Netherlands

This paper presents a dynamic multinomial logit model to explain the transitions into and out of self-employment using Dutch micro-panel data, the LISS panel. Based on the estimates we simulate employment paths for benchmark individuals. These are used to illustrate the limitations of the common assumption in wealth and pension income modeling, that individuals remain in their observed labour state until retirement. In particular, we find that although one year transition probabilities out of self-employment are not more than 10%, the chances that individuals who are self-employed remain self-employed for the majority of the next ten years can be much smaller, and vary substantially with individual characteristics such as education level and personality.

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来源期刊

Applied Econometrics Economics, Econometrics and Finance-Economics, Econometrics and Finance (miscellaneous)

CiteScore

0.70

自引率

0.00%

发文量

期刊介绍： The Journal of Applied Econometrics is an international journal published bi-monthly, plus 1 additional issue (total 7 issues). It aims to publish articles of high quality dealing with the application of existing as well as new econometric techniques to a wide variety of problems in economics and related subjects, covering topics in measurement, estimation, testing, forecasting, and policy analysis. The emphasis is on the careful and rigorous application of econometric techniques and the appropriate interpretation of the results. The economic content of the articles is stressed. A special feature of the Journal is its emphasis on the replicability of results by other researchers. To achieve this aim, authors are expected to make available a complete set of the data used as well as any specialised computer programs employed through a readily accessible medium, preferably in a machine-readable form. The use of microcomputers in applied research and transferability of data is emphasised. The Journal also features occasional sections of short papers re-evaluating previously published papers. The intention of the Journal of Applied Econometrics is to provide an outlet for innovative, quantitative research in economics which cuts across areas of specialisation, involves transferable techniques, and is easily replicable by other researchers. Contributions that introduce statistical methods that are applicable to a variety of economic problems are actively encouraged. The Journal also aims to publish review and survey articles that make recent developments in the field of theoretical and applied econometrics more readily accessible to applied economists in general.