房地产市场的泡沫?基于重复销售方法的莫斯科和圣彼得堡二级市场分析

Q3 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Applied Econometrics Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI:10.22394/1993-7601-2023-70-72-88

Anastasia Kosyakina

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引用次数: 0

摘要

提出了对重复销售方法的修改，该方法允许估计房价指数，同时考虑到随着时间的推移所出售房产的质量特征的变化，以及俄罗斯数据的局限性。给出了莫斯科和圣彼得堡的指标评价结果。结果表明，考虑到购买对象质量的变化，这些城市2021年底的二手房价格水平与2012年底的水平相当。

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A bubble in the housing market? Analysis based on the repeat-sales method for the secondary market in Moscow and Saint Petersburg

A modification of the repeat-sales method is proposed, which allows estimating housing price indices taking into account changes in the qualitative characteristics of the properties being sold over time, as well as limitations in Russian data. The results of evaluation of indices for Moscow and St. Petersburg are given. It is concluded that in real terms and taking into account the change in the quality of purchased objects, the price levels for the secondary housing in these cities at the end of 2021 are comparable to the level of the end of 2012.

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来源期刊

Applied Econometrics Economics, Econometrics and Finance-Economics, Econometrics and Finance (miscellaneous)

CiteScore

0.70

自引率

0.00%

发文量

期刊介绍： The Journal of Applied Econometrics is an international journal published bi-monthly, plus 1 additional issue (total 7 issues). It aims to publish articles of high quality dealing with the application of existing as well as new econometric techniques to a wide variety of problems in economics and related subjects, covering topics in measurement, estimation, testing, forecasting, and policy analysis. The emphasis is on the careful and rigorous application of econometric techniques and the appropriate interpretation of the results. The economic content of the articles is stressed. A special feature of the Journal is its emphasis on the replicability of results by other researchers. To achieve this aim, authors are expected to make available a complete set of the data used as well as any specialised computer programs employed through a readily accessible medium, preferably in a machine-readable form. The use of microcomputers in applied research and transferability of data is emphasised. The Journal also features occasional sections of short papers re-evaluating previously published papers. The intention of the Journal of Applied Econometrics is to provide an outlet for innovative, quantitative research in economics which cuts across areas of specialisation, involves transferable techniques, and is easily replicable by other researchers. Contributions that introduce statistical methods that are applicable to a variety of economic problems are actively encouraged. The Journal also aims to publish review and survey articles that make recent developments in the field of theoretical and applied econometrics more readily accessible to applied economists in general.