奥利维拉、坦齐、米洛舍维奇:为什么阿夫拉莫维奇的方案被采纳?

IF 0.9 4区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Panoeconomicus Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI:10.2298/pan2202225p
D. Popović
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引用次数: 0

摘要

1992年和1993年,在联合国的制裁下,恶性通货膨胀袭击了南斯拉夫联邦共和国。其领导层认为,财政赤字可以通过印钞来弥补,但这种做法导致了恶性通货膨胀的加速。前世界银行经济学家Dragoslav Avramovic明白,停止印钞应该是他的计划的核心。他知道奥利韦拉-坦齐的影响,但是在向全国提出纲领的过程中对纲领的猛烈攻击?中国的最高领导层表示,这些人没有——尽管事实上,所有征收的税款的实际价值已经下降到只有几千万美元。最终是米洛舍维奇本人决定批准该方案。南斯拉夫联邦共和国的经济问题要严重得多。实体部门的权贵阶层的相关利益阻碍了进一步的改革,阿夫拉莫维奇于1996年被解职。
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Olivera, Tanzi, Milosevic: Why was Avramovic’s programme adopted?
It was under the UN sanctions during 1992 and 1993 that hyperinflation hit the FRY. Its leadership believed that the fiscal deficit could be covered by printing money, but such a practice resulted in acceleration of hyperinflation. Former World Bank economist Dragoslav Avramovic understood that stopping printing money should represent the core of his Programme. He was aware of the Olivera-Tanzi effect, but the fierce attacks on the Programme in the course of its presentation to the nation?s top leadership indicated that those people were not - despite the fact that the real value of all collected taxes decreased to only several tens of millions of US dollars. It was ultimately Milosevic himself who decided that the Programme should be approved. The economic problems of the FRY ran much deeper. The involved interests of the nomenklatura in the real sector blocked further reforms and Avramovic was dismissed in 1996.
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来源期刊
Panoeconomicus
Panoeconomicus ECONOMICS-
CiteScore
1.80
自引率
10.00%
发文量
31
审稿时长
40 weeks
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