地缘政治风险和气候变化之间有什么关系吗?

IF 0.5 Q4 ECONOMICS Ekonomski Vjesnik Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI:10.51680/ev.35.1.8
Orhan Cengiz, M. Manga
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引用次数: 6

摘要

目的:本研究的目的是指出地缘政治风险对气候变化的影响。人均二氧化碳排放量被用作气候变化的指标。在本研究中,数据样本涵盖了12个选定的拉丁美洲和亚洲国家1990年至2015年的年度数据。经过标准的初步检验(横断面相关性检验、CIPS单位根检验和斜率均匀性检验),我们采用第二代估计器——AMG (Augmented Mean Group)方法来探讨地缘政治风险与人均二氧化碳排放量之间的长期关系。结果:AMG的研究结果表明,地缘政治风险每上升1%,人均二氧化碳排放量就会上升0.001%。此外,经济增长和化石能源消费促进人均二氧化碳排放量,而可再生能源有助于减少人均二氧化碳排放量。结论:近年来,学者们试图探讨地缘政治风险对环境退化的影响。根据我们的研究结果,在拉丁美洲和亚洲国家,减少地缘政治风险和冲突可以阻止环境退化。从长远来看,如果发生地缘政治冲突,政府应该考虑制定强有力的清洁能源政策。此外,政府应该关注可再生能源政策,用更多的技术密集型资源替代不可再生能源。
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Is there any relationship between geopolitical risk and climate change?
Purpose: The aim of this study is to point out the impact of geopolitical risk on climate change. The CO2 emissions per capita is used as a proxy for climate change. Methodology: In this study, the data sample covers annual data from 1990 to 2015 for 12 selected Latin American and Asian countries. After standard preliminary tests (Cross-sectional dependence tests, CIPS unit root test, and slope homogeneity test), we employ the second-generation estimator – the AMG (Augmented Mean Group) method to explore the long-run relationship between geopolitical risk and CO2 emissions per capita. Results: The AMG findings document that a 1% rise in geopolitical risk escalates CO2 emissions per capita by 0.001%. In addition, economic growth and fossil energy consumption foster CO2 emissions per capita, whereas renewable energy contributes to decreasing CO2 emissions per capita. Conclusion: In recent years, scholars have attempted to explore the impact of geopolitical risk on environmental degradation. According to our results, in Latin American and Asian countries, decreasing geopolitical risk and conflict can impede environmental degradation. In the long run, a robust clean energy policy should be considered in case of geopolitical conflict by the government. Besides, the government should focus on renewable energy policy and substitute non-renewable energy resources with more technology-intensive resources.
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Ekonomski Vjesnik
Ekonomski Vjesnik ECONOMICS-
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