石油和可再生能源价格之间的关系

R. Branski, S. Oku
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引用次数: 0

摘要

石油行业的大公司一直在向可再生能源领域拓展业务。这项工作的目标是确定过去10年石油价格与以下可再生能源价格之间的模式和关系:风能、水力发电、太阳能和生物能源。对标准的分析和关系的识别有助于决策者确定战略,提高运营效率。此外,它还有助于开发能够预测、解释和检验数据假设的模型。在这项工作中使用的主要分析和数据处理方法包括涉及相互关系和格兰杰因果关系的统计检验。相互关系检验表明,石油和风能价格之间存在较强的负相关关系,格兰杰检验表明两者之间没有因果关系。新的研究将石油和可再生能源的价格按国家和较长时期进行比较,可能会带来有趣的结果。
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RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN OIL AND RENEWABLE ENERGIES PRICES
Large companies in the oil sector have been expanding their activities to the renewable energy segment. The objective of this work is to identify patterns and relationships - in the 10 last years - between oil price and prices of the following renewable energies: wind, hydroelectric, solar, and bioenergy. The analysis of standards and the identification of relationships help decision-makers to define strategies and increase operation efficiency. Besides, it contributes to the development of models capable of predicting, interpreting, and testing hypotheses about the data. The main analytical and data treatment methodology used in this work comprises statistical tests involving Cross-Correlation and Granger Causality. The Cross-Correlation Test showed a strong negative correlation between oil and wind energy prices, and the Granger’s test did not show causality between them. New studies comparing oil and renewable energy prices by country and covering a longer period can bring interesting results.
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