欧元区内外的实际汇率调整

Martin Berka, M. Devereux, C. Engel
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引用次数: 69

摘要

经常有人提出,货币联盟过度抑制了实际汇率的有效调整。最近,这被视为欧元区的一大失败。本文提出的证据对这一结论提出了质疑。我们的证据表明,欧元区内部的实际汇率变动至少与欧元区以外浮动汇率国家的实际汇率行为一样符合有效调整。这种解释与一种模型是一致的,在这种模型中,名义汇率的变动导致了对贸易商品单一价格规律的持续偏离。
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Real Exchange Rate Adjustment In and Out of the Eurozone
It is often suggested that currency unions unduly inhibit the efficient adjustment of real exchange rates. Recently, this has been seen as a key failure of the Eurozone. This paper presents evidence that throws doubt on this conclusion. Our evidence suggests that real exchange rate movement within the Eurozone was at least as compatible with efficient adjustment as the behavior of real exchange rates for the floating rate countries outside the Eurozone. This interpretation is consistent with a model in which nominal exchange rate movements give rise to persistent deviations from the law of one price in traded goods.
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