结合人工智能和混合机器学习算法提高库城喜马拉雅地区滑坡灾害空间预测精度

Anik Saha, Sunil Saha
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引用次数: 7

摘要

当前工作的目的是比较使用机器学习技术(即多层感知神经网络(MLP)、核逻辑回归(KLR)、随机森林(RF)和多变量自适应回归样条(MARS))产生的滑坡易感性图;新集合方法:MLP-Bagging、KLR-Bagging、RF-Bagging和MARS-Bagging。对于集成模型,使用RF、KLR、MLP和MARS作为基本分类器,使用Bagging作为元分类器。当前工作的另一个目标是介绍和评估新的KLR-Bagging和MARS-Bagging组合在滑坡敏感性方面的有效性。编制了303个滑坡位置来校准和测试模型,并创建了清单地图。采用Relief-F和多重共线性试验选择了18个lcf来绘制滑坡敏感性图。应用受试者工作特征(ROC)、精密度、准确度、不正确分类比例、平均绝对误差(MAE)和均方根误差(RMSE)对lsm进行验证。不同的验证结果显示:RF-Bagging (AUC training 88.69%;使用集成元分类器进行92.28%的测试,结果优于基于MLP、KLR、RF、MARS、MLP- bagging、KLR- bagging和MARS- bagging的lsm。RF模型表明,坡度、海拔、降雨量和地貌对滑坡发生的影响最为重要。这些结果将有助于减少龟城地区和其他地质环境和地质条件大致相似的地区的滑坡造成的损失。
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Integrating the artificial intelligence and hybrid machine learning algorithms for improving the accuracy of spatial prediction of landslide hazards in Kurseong Himalayan Region

The aim of the current work is to compare susceptibility maps of landslides produced using machine learning techniques i.e. multilayer perception neural nets (MLP), kernel logistic regression (KLR), random forest (RF), and multivariate adaptive regression splines (MARS); novel ensemble approaches i.e. MLP-Bagging, KLR-Bagging, RF-Bagging and MARS-Bagging in the Kurseong-Himalayan region. For the ensemble models the RF, KLR, MLP and MARS were used as base classifiers, and Bagging was used as meta classifier. Another objective of the current work is to introduce and evaluate the effectiveness of the novel KLR-Bagging and MARS-Bagging ensembles in susceptibility to landslide. Compiling 303 landslide locations to calibrate and test the models, an inventory map was created. Eighteen LCFs were chosen using the Relief-F and multi-collinearity tests for mapping the landslide susceptibility. Applying receiver operating characteristic (ROC), precision, accuracy, incorrectly categorized proportion, mean-absolute-error (MAE), and root-mean-square-error (RMSE), the LSMs were subsequently verified. The different validation results showed RF-Bagging (AUC training 88.69% & testing 92.28%) with ensemble Meta classifier gives better performance than the MLP, KLR, RF, MARS, MLP-Bagging, KLR-Bagging, and MARS-Bagging based LSMs. RF model showed that the slope, altitude, rainfall, and geomorphology played the most vital role in landslide occurrence comparing the other LCFs. These results will help to reduce the losses caused by the landslides in the Kurseong and in other areas where geo-environmental and geological conditions more or less similar.

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