为什么利率这么低?+

Jamel Kevin Sandoval Hernández González , Samy Yandamy Morales Guillén
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引用次数: 1

摘要

低利率是一种全球反常现象,在所谓的“大衰退”爆发后获得专利。然而,在八年多一点的时间里,这一趋势似乎没有发生重大变化(尽管美国最近试图扭转这一周期),这意味着在新的操作条件下工作,并为未来设计经济政策。本文试图发展不同的解释假设,以推断当前日期和未来几年的低利率。在主要思想中,对长期停滞的假设给予了特别的重视,长期停滞被理解为经济中性利率与中央银行使用的利率之间的永久差距。在结论中,引用了一些可能的研究线索,这些研究线索来自于从长期停滞的角度解释低利率。
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¿Por qué las tasas de interés son tan bajas?+

The low interest rates are a global anomaly that was patented after the outbreak of the so-called “Great Recession”. However, a little more than eight years away from the epiphenomenon of the low cost of capital, this trend does not appear to have changed significantly (despite recent attempts by the United States to reverse this cycle), which means working under new conditions of operation and design of economic policies for the future. The present paper seeks to develop the different explanatory hypotheses that infer the low interest rates both in current dates and in the years to come. Within the main ideas is given particular importance to the hypothesis of secular stagnation, understood as a permanent gap between the neutral interest rate of the economy with the interest rate used by central banks. In the conclusions, some possible lines of research are cited, same that are derived from explaining the low interest rates from the perspective of secular stagnation.

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