冠状病毒、芯片热潮、供应短缺:全球半导体制造业新常态

Stephen M. Rothrock
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摘要

在过去的50年里,半导体行业面临着相当多的困难挑战。当前全球正在经历的新冠肺炎疫情造成了2008年金融危机以来最严重的经济衰退,给全球经济带来了毁灭性打击。然而,面对逆境,半导体行业一再表现出令人难以置信的韧性。尽管疫情大流行,但市场自2003年以来从未出现过如此戏剧性的好转,因此,新的市场好转打破了制造业集中和外包的根本缺陷和风险。当世界对台湾半导体的依赖岌岌可危时,全球供应链如何预测、管理和计划未来这种突如其来的转变?现在,先进的技术公司比以往任何时候都更需要掌握供需脉搏,以成功地为其战略制造决策提供信息,并保持敏捷,以确保供应的连续性。在未来几个月供应短缺的情况下,随着芯片需求激增,供应不再是既定的,制造晶圆厂的未来将如何?在新常态下,绿地会成为常态而不是例外吗?市场好转将如何影响全球晶圆厂选址选择?ATREG创始人、总裁兼首席执行官Stephen M. Rothrock在北美、欧洲和亚洲完成了约20年的国际半导体制造资产交易,他将对当前的全球制造资产市场以及随着当前市场好转,它可能如何演变提供见解。
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Coronavirus, chip boom, and supply shortage: The new normal for global semiconductor manufacturing
Over the past 50 years, the semiconductor industry has faced its fair share of difficult challenges. The COVID-19 pandemic the world is currently experiencing has caused the worst downturn since the financial crisis of 2008, devastating global economies. And yet, the semiconductor industry has repeatedly shown incredible resilience in the face of adversity. Despite the pandemic, the market has not experienced such a dramatic upturn since 2003 and as a result, the new market upturn breaks open the fundamental flaws and risks of manufacturing concentration and outsourcing. At a time when the world is precariously dependent on Taiwan for semiconductors, how can the global supply chain forecast, manage, and plan for such sudden shifts in the future? Now more than ever before, advanced technology companies need to keep the finger on the pulse of supply and demand to successfully inform their strategic manufacturing decisions and remain agile to ensure continuity of supply. As chip demand booms in the midst of a supply shortage over the coming months and supply is no longer a given, what does the future hold for manufacturing fabs? Will greenfield become the rule rather than the exception in this new normal? How will the market upturn impact global fab location choices? Reflecting on some 20 years of experience completing international semiconductor manufacturing asset transactions in North America, Europe, and Asia, ATREG Founder, President, and CEO Stephen M. Rothrock will provide insights into the current global manufacturing asset market and how it is likely to evolve as part of the current market upturn.
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