美国主导的TPPA及其对中国在东南亚地区主义立场的影响

M. Aslam
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引用次数: 1

摘要

在10 + 3发展之前,东盟是整合东南亚国家的主要架构。该组织能够与中国、日本和韩国发展更密切的经济合作。然而,中国和日本相互竞争并试图“支配”对方,以及地区主义应该是什么以及它对谁有利。像东盟成员国这样的小国,以及那些对中国在东南亚的动机(包括中国对南中国海的领土主张)持怀疑态度的国家,将依附于美国。过去10年的政治和经济发展表明,美国的亲密盟友,如日本、韩国、新加坡、澳大利亚和新西兰,无法“限制”中国在东南亚地区日益增长的统治地位。据称,自2009年11月以来被美国“劫持”并主导的TPPA,被认为是遏制中国在东南亚日益增长的实力的反制措施。如果TPPA不是为了限制中国在该地区的存在,那么该协议将成为亚太自由贸易区的探路者。本文试图回答(i)美国政府参与TPPA的动机是什么,(ii) TPPA对中国可能有什么影响,(iii)中国在该地区的角色会发生什么变化,以及(iv)中国采取了哪些保险行动。
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US-led TPPA and Its Implication on China Positions in Southeast Asian Regionalism
Prior to the development of ASEAN Plus Three, ASEAN was the main architecture integrating countries in Southeast Asia. The organization was able to develop a closer economic cooperation with China, Japan and South Korea. However, China and Japan competing and attempting to “dictate” each other and what regionalism should be and whom it benefits. Small states such as the members of ASEAN and those skeptical of China’s motives in Southeast Asia including China’s territorial claims to the South China Sea would cling to the US. Political and economic development over the past 10 years reveal that the close allies of the United States of America (USA) such as Japan, South Korea, Singapore, Australia and New Zealand, were unable to “limit” China’s growing domination in the Southeast Asian region. The TPPA that was allegedly “hijacked” and led by the US since November 2009, was believed as a counter measure to check China’s growing power in Southeast Asia. If the TPPA is not meant to limit China’s presence in the region, the agreement would function as a pathfinder for the Free Trade Area of the Asia-Pacific. This paper attempts to answer (i) what is the motive of the US government involvement in TPPA, (ii) what the posible implication of TPPA to China (iii) what would happen to China’s role in the region, and (iv) what insurance actions developed by China.
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