基于Spark大数据平台的组合水质污染预测模型

Zhihui Sun, Yiqing Fan
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引用次数: 1

摘要

水质预测是水资源管理和污染控制的基础工作,准确预测水体中污染物浓度随时间的变化趋势至关重要。水质数据预测具有重要的意义,它为有效评价水质提供了数据支持,也是保护水资源和环境的一种间接方式。目前有多种水质预测方法,但这些方法还存在一些不足。本文以溶解氧(DO)、氨氮(NH3-N)、总磷(P)等主要水质污染指标数据为研究对象,构建水质预测模型。水质预测指标包含了大量的非线性相关特征,导致在大规模数据上的训练效率较低。为此,提出了一种基于集成集成经验模态分解(EEMD)和级联支持向量机(cascade SVM)的组合水质预测模型。首先,利用EEMD方法突出原始水质数据序列的真实特征。然后,利用分布式计算引擎Spark实现串级支持向量机的并行化训练和预测过程。实验结果表明,所提出的组合模型在训练效率和预测精度等诸多性能方面都具有较强的优势。
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A combined water quality pollution prediction model based on the Spark big data platform
Water quality prediction is the basic work of water resource management and pollution control, and it is crucial to accurately predict the trend of pollutant concentration in water bodies over time. Water quality data prediction has an important significance, it provides data support for the effective estimation of water quality, and is also an indirect way to protect water resources and environment. At present there are a variety of water quality prediction methods, but these methods still have some shortcomings. In this paper, the main water quality pollution indicators such as the dissolved oxygen (DO), ammonia nitrogen (NH3-N) and total phosphorus (P) data were the object of study to build a water quality prediction model. The water quality prediction index contains numerous nonlinear correlation characteristics that results in low training efficiency on a large-scale data. Therefore, a combined water quality prediction model based on integrated ensemble empirical mode decomposition (EEMD) and cascade support vector machine (Cascade SVM) is proposed. First, the EEMD method is used to highlight the real characteristics of the original water quality data series. Then, the parallel training and prediction process are realized by the Spark, a distributed computing engine, to parallelize the traditional Cascade SVM. The experimental results show that the proposed combined model shows a strong superiority in many aspects of performance such as training efficiency and prediction accuracy.
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