2011-2016年商品市场金融化

Michał Łukowski, Monika Łukowska
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本文对欧盟国家和美国商品市场的金融化进行了描述和分析。在过去的二十年里,人们经常将市场微观结构的变化归咎于投资资本流入商品衍生品市场,导致商品价格与其内在价值的分离。我们使用相关分析和VAR模型来验证2000年至2017年期间金融投资者行为对商品价格的重要性,并在更广泛的分析中从2011年到2016年,因为我们试图证明这是商品市场的过渡期。我们的研究结果表明,金融投资者对商品价格的影响在欧盟国家和美国都存在。
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The Financialization of the Commodity Markets 2011-2016
In the paper we describe and analyze financialization of commodity markets in EU countries and in the USA. This inflow of investment capital on commodity derivatives market, observed for the past twenty years, is often blamed for the changes in the markets’ microstructure, resulting in the detachment of the commodity prices from its underlying intrinsic value. We use correlation analysis and VAR Models to verify the significance of the financial investors’ actions on the commodity prices for the period from 2000 to 2017 and in more extensive analysis from 2011 to 2016, as we try to prove this is the transitional period for commodity markets. Our findings show that the influence of financial investors on the commodity prices is observed for the EU countries as well as the USA.
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