北京市森林风险评价测度模型研究

Z. Ying, Y. Ai-jun, Ji Jian-wei, Lu Ji
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引用次数: 0

摘要

研究北京市森林风险评估计量模型,对促进北京市林业发展和加强森林资源管理具有重要意义。本文采用概率回归方法对北京市森林测量模型进行了风险评价研究。结果表明:北京市森林火灾与林业产值存在一定关系,森林病虫害鼠害与森林建设投资存在一定关系,且统计检验均显著,表明回归模型是合格的。研究建议,在开展林业生产时,应加强森林防火,加大森林资本投入,防止森林病虫害和啮齿动物的发生。
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Study on Measurement Model for Forest Risk Assessment in Beijing
It has an important significance to promote the Beijing forestry development and strengthen forest resources management for study on Beijing forest measurement model of risk assessment. This paper has studied on forest measurement model of risk assessment in Beijing used probability regression method. The results show that: Beijing forest fires and forestry production value has a certain relationship, also it has a certain relationship between forest diseases, pests and rodents and forest construction investment, and both statistical tests are significant, which indicated that the regression models are qualified. The study suggests that when carrying out forestry production, forest fire prevention should be enhanced and the forest capital investment should be strengthened to prevent the forest diseases and pests and rodents occurred.
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