Karkheh河流域向haur - al - azim湿地增水运行管理中的破产方法比较

Nima Pournabi, S. Janatrostami, A. Ashrafzadeh, K. Mohammadi
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摘要

破产法是一种直截了当的实用方法,用于解决在索取权超过资产的地区将有限的水源分配给不同用户的问题。本研究采用经典破产方法,对haur - al- azim湿地的3种恢复水平(35%、50%和100%)和2种与农业相关的情景(维持现有耕地面积和减少耕地面积)进行了考虑和评估。结果表明,由于气候条件和农业需求的原因,完全恢复湿地是遥不可及的,导致农业受益人的满意度最低。结果还显示,在维持现有种植面积的情况下,改良破产方式的受益人满意度最高。此外,在湿地全面恢复的条件下,采用作物限制情景,增加了供水量的百分比;例如,在阿巴斯平原地区,所有方法都实现了近10-15%的增长。另一方面,减少耕地面积使流域分配问题转向非破产问题。
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Comparison of bankruptcy methods in the operation management of the Karkheh River Basin to allocate more water to the Hawr-Al-Azim Wetland
Bankruptcy methods are straightforward practical methods to address the problem of allocating limited sources of water to different users in regions where claims exceed assets. In the present study, three levels of restoration for the Hawr-Al-Azim wetland (35, 50, and 100%) and two agricultural-related scenarios, maintaining the current cultivation area and decreasing the area under cultivation, were considered and assessed using classical bankruptcy methods. The results showed that, because of climatic conditions and agricultural demands, full wetland restoration was out of reach and led to minimum satisfaction levels for agricultural beneficiaries. The results also showed that the modified bankruptcy method led to the highest satisfaction levels for beneficiaries in the scenario of maintaining the current cultivation area. In addition, the percentage of the water supply was increased by applying the scenario of crop restriction in the conditions of the full restoration of the wetland; for example, in the Abbas Plain region, this increase was achieved by almost 10–15% in all methods. On the other hand, decreasing the area under cultivation shifted the allocation problem in the basin to a non-bankruptcy one.
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