生态安全风险

IF 1 Q3 POLITICAL SCIENCE New Perspectives Pub Date : 2022-11-11 DOI:10.1177/2336825X221139697
T. A. Benjaminsen
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引用次数: 1

摘要

在过去的15-20年里,气候变化越来越多地被国际上视为一种安全风险(Brown et al., 2007)。这种证券化尤其发生在军队、(绿色)国际非政府组织和政策制定者之间(Selby和Hoffman, 2014)。在有关气候安全的会议上,可以观察到一种奇特的行为者组合,参与者中有穿制服的军官、气候活动家和政治家。自2007年以来,联合国安理会也多次讨论了气候变化与人类安全之间的联系,特别是与非洲萨赫勒地区严峻的安全局势有关。2021年3月,非洲联盟和平与安全理事会还发布了一份公报,专门讨论气候变化对非洲和平、安全与稳定的影响。国际媒体通常热衷于重复有关气候引起的冲突的政策叙述。特别是目前萨赫勒地区的危机,引起了国际社会对气候变化的关注,认为气候变化可能是一个原因。举两个例子——《世界报》于2019年4月11日报道,马里富拉尼牧民和多贡农民之间的冲突是由气候变化和人口增长导致的资源短缺造成的,而德国之声(2019年6月11日)得出结论,“气候变化、人口增长、缺位国家和伊斯兰主义加剧了马里多贡族和富拉尼族之间的资源冲突”。事实上,萨赫勒地区经常被认为是气候变化、贫困、移民和武装叛乱等问题交织在一起的最典型例子。挪威诺贝尔委员会在2007年将诺贝尔和平奖授予美国前副总统戈尔和IPCC时反映了这一观点,并强调萨赫勒地区的农牧民冲突是气候变化与冲突之间密切联系的典型例子。另一方面,学术研究对于将气候变化视为冲突的原因或威胁倍增器更为关键,尽管研究人员继续将气候变化作为暴力冲突的风险因素进行调查(Mach等人,2019)。这种风险可能通过可能的间接途径发生,例如通过减少粮食安全或实施适应或缓解措施。定量和平与冲突研究(如Buhaug 2010;Theisen et al., 2013;Koubi 2019)和基于案例的政治生态学(例如Benjaminsen等人,2012;亚伯拉罕和卡尔2017;Benjaminsen和Ba(2021)对气候变化是暴力和不安全因素驱动因素的假设提出了质疑,尽管在某些情况下可能存在间接途径。我自己在气候安全辩论中的立场以及对这本书的评论
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The risks of ecological security
During the last 15–20 years a changing climate has increasingly been seen internationally as a security risk (Brown et al., 2007). This securitisation has in particular taken place within the military, (green) international NGOs and among policy-makers (Selby and Hoffman, 2014). In conferences about climate security, a peculiar mix of actors can be observed among participants of military officers in uniform, climate activists and politicians. Since 2007, the UN Security Council has also discussed the link between climate change and human security several times, and in particular related to the dire security situation in the African Sahel. In March 2021, the African Union’s Peace and Security Council also issued a communiqué dedicated to the effects of climate change on peace, security and stability in Africa. International media have generally been keen to repeat a policy narrative about climate-caused conflicts. Especially the current crisis in the Sahel has drawn international attention to climate change as a possible cause. Just to give two examples – Le Monde reported on 11th April 2019 that conflicts between Fulani herders and Dogon farmers in Mali are caused by resource scarcity following climate change and population growth, whileDeutsche Welle (11th June 2019) concluded that ‘The conflict between Dogon and Fulani ethnic groups over resources in Mali has been exacerbated by climate change, population growth, an absentee state and Islamism’. Indeed, the Sahel is often pointed out as the most typical example of a toxic brew of climate change, poverty, migration and armed insurgency. This view was reflected by the Norwegian Nobel Committee when it awarded the Nobel Peace Prize in 2007 to former US Vice President Al Gore and the IPCC and highlighted farmer-herder conflicts in the Sahel as typical examples of a close link between climate change and conflicts. Academic research, on the other hand, has been more critical to framing climate change as a cause of conflicts or as a threat multiplier, although researchers continue to investigate climate change as a risk factor for violent conflict (Mach et al., 2019). Such risks may occur via possible indirect pathways as for instance through reduced food security or the implementation of adaptation or mitigation measures. Both quantitative peace and conflict studies (e.g. Buhaug 2010; Theisen et al., 2013; Koubi 2019) and case-based political ecology (e.g. Benjaminsen et al., 2012; Abrahams and Carr 2017; Benjaminsen and Ba, 2021) have questioned assumptions about climate change as a driver of violence and insecurity, although there may be indirect pathways under certain contexts. My own positionality in debates about climate security and in these comments on the book discussed in this
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New Perspectives
New Perspectives POLITICAL SCIENCE-
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期刊介绍: New Perspectives is an academic journal that seeks to provide interdisciplinary insight into the politics and international relations of Central and Eastern Europe. New Perspectives is published by the Institute of International Relations Prague.
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