西非经共体区域贸易协定的贸易创造和贸易转移效应分析

Oladimeji Fajimolu, Olabode Olayemi
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引用次数: 0

摘要

目的/目的-本研究的重点是西非国家经济共同体(西非经共体)区域贸易协定的贸易创造和贸易转移效应。本报告审查西非经共体区域贸易协定是否在尼日利亚政府禁止某些进口项目的期限内违反该协定的规定,创造了贸易和(或)转移了贸易。研究方法:本研究采用增强重力模型。对区域内的双边贸易流量、贸易创造和贸易转移进行了估计。次要数据(2008-2018)来自可靠来源。采用普通最小二乘(OLS)和面板数据回归对数据进行分析。研究发现,出口国的GDP(财富)、人口和政治稳定性将显著促进区域内双边贸易流动,而土地面积、内陆和距离等变量将显著减少区域内双边贸易流动。进口国的人口、内陆、政治稳定和腐败感知变量在统计上不显著。R2是决定系数,介于54.8%和63.3%之间,这意味着自变量已经能够解释因变量中54.8%到63.3%的总变化。研究影响-经发现西非经共体一些成员加入发展中国家间全球贸易优惠制度导致了贸易转移;而西非经共体一些成员加入西非经济和货币联盟(WAEMU)对西非经共体区域的贸易创造水平作出了贡献。原创性/价值/贡献-只要所有成员国严格遵守协定的条款,西非经共体区域的贸易创造水平就可以得到提高。
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Analysing Trade Creation and Trade Diversion effects in ECOWAS Regional Trade Agreement
Aim/Purpose – The study focuses on trade creation and trade diversion effect in the Economic Community of West African States (ECOWAS) regional trade agreement. It examines if the ECOWAS regional trade agreement has brought about trade creation and/or trade diversion before the period of ban on certain items of importation by the Nigerian government as against the terms of the agreement. Methodology – The study uses augmented gravity model. Estimations were carried out on bilateral trade flows, trade creation and trade diversion within the region. Secondary data (2008-2018) were obtained from reliable sources. Ordinary least squares (OLS) and panel data regression was used to analyze the data. Findings – It was found that the GDP (wealth), population and political stability of the exporting countries will significantly foster intra-regional bilateral trade flow while variables like land area, landlocked and distance will significantly reduce bilateral trade flow in the region. The population, landlocked, political stability and corruption perception variables of the importing countries are found not to be statistically significant. R2 being the coefficient of determination falls between 54.8% and 63.3% which implies that the independent variables have been able to explain 54.8% to 63.3% of the total variations in the dependent variable. Research implications – Membership of some of the ECOWAS members in Global System of Trade Preferences among developing countries (GSTP) was found to have resulted in trade diversion; whereas, participation of some of ECOWAS members in West African Economic and Monetary Union (WAEMU) has contributed to the level of trade creation in ECOWAS region. Originality/value/contribution – The level of trade creation in the ECOWAS region can be improved upon provided all member states adhere strictly to the terms of the agreement.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
7.20
自引率
7.90%
发文量
15
期刊介绍: Entrepreneurial Business and Economics Review (EBER), as multi-disciplinary and multi-contextual journal, is dedicated to serve as a broad and unified platform for revealing and spreading economics and management research focused on entrepreneurship, individual entrepreneurs as well as particular entrepreneurial aspects of business. It attempts to link theory and practice in different sections of economics and management by publishing various types of articles, including research papers, conceptual papers and literature reviews. Our geographical scope of interests include Central and Eastern Europe and emerging markets, however we also welcome articles beyond this scope. The Journal accept the articles from the following fields: -Entrepreneurship and Business Studies (in particular entrepreneurship and innovation, strategic entrepreneurship, corporate entrepreneurship, entrepreneurship methodology, new trends in HRM and HRD as well as organizational behaviour, entrepreneurial management, entrepreneurial business, management methodology, modern trends in business studies and organization theory, policies promoting entrepreneurship, innovation, R&D and SMEs, education for entrepreneurship), -International Business and Global Entrepreneurship (especially international entrepreneurship, European business, and new trends in international business, IB methodology), -International Economics and Applied Economics (in particular the role of entrepreneurship and the entrepreneur in economics, international economics including the economics of the European Union and emerging markets, as well as Europeanization, new trends in economics, economics methodology).
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