基于智能数据驱动框架的高温高压气藏气偏系数人工神经网络预测

Zeeshan Tariq, M. Mahmoud, A. Asad
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引用次数: 3

摘要

气体偏差因子(z因子)是解决实际气体行为与理想气体行为偏差所需的有效热力学性质。基于状态方程(EOS)计算z因子的经验模型和相关性通常是隐式的,因为它们需要大量的迭代,因此计算成本非常高。文献中还报道了许多明确的经验相关性,以提高简单性;然而,对于整个伪还原温度和伪还原压力的完整范围,还没有单独的显式相关性,这表明了一个重大的研究空白。天然气偏差系数的不准确将导致后续天然气性质的计算出现巨大误差,如地层体积系数(Bg)、气体压缩性(cg)和原始天然气储量(OGIP)。以前报道的经验相关性在较低压力下可以更好地估计气体偏差系数,但在较高的油藏压力下,其准确性就会受到质疑。在本研究中,使用鲁棒人工智能(AI)工具人工神经网络(ANN)以线性方式提出了一个简单且改进的z因子经验模型。新模型是在从几个已发表的来源获得的3000多个实验室实验数据点上进行训练的。所提出的模型仅是气体的伪还原温度和伪还原压力的函数,使其比现有的隐式和复杂的关联更简单。在未公开发布的数据集上,针对先前发布的低气藏压力和高气藏压力相关性,对所提出的基于人工神经网络的模型的准确性和泛化能力进行了测试。与已发表数据集的对比结果表明,新模型的平均绝对百分比误差(AAPE)较小,均方根误差(RMSE)较小,决定系数(R2)较高,优于其他预测z因子的方法。与实测数据相比,所得误差小于3%。
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An Intelligent Data-Driven Framework to Develop New Correlation to Predict Gas Deviation Factor for High-Temperature and High-Pressure Gas Reservoirs Using Artificial Neural Network
The gas deviation factor (Z-factor) is an effective thermodynamic property required to address the deviation of the real gas behavior from that of an ideal gas. Empirical models and correlations to compute Z-factor based on the equation of states (EOS) are often implicit, because they needed huge number of iterations and thus computationally very expensive. Many explicit empirical correlations are also reported in the literature to improve the simplicity; yet, no individual explicit correlation has been formulated for the complete full range of pseudoreduced temperatures and pseudo-reduced pressures, which demonstrates a significant research gap. The inaccuracy in determining gas deviation factor will lead to huge error in computing subsequent natural gas properties such as gas formation volume factor (Bg), gas compressibility (cg), and original gas in place (OGIP). Previously reported empirical correlations provide better estimation of gas deviation factor at lower pressures but at higher reservoir pressures their accuracies becomes questionable. In this study, a simple and improved Z-factor empirical model is presented in a linear fashion using a robust artificial intelligence (AI) tool, the Artificial Neural Network (ANN). The new model is trained on more than 3000 data points from laboratory experiments obtained from several published sources. The proposed model is only a function of pseudo reduced temperature and pseudo reduced pressure of the gases which makes it simpler than the existing implicit and complicated correlations. The accuracy and generalization capabilities of the proposed ANN based model is also tested against previously published correlations at low and high gas reservoir pressures on an unseen published dataset. The comparative results on a published dataset show that the new model outperformed other methods of predicting Z-factor by giving less average absolute percentage error (AAPE), less root mean square error (RMSE) and high coefficient of determination (R2). The error obtained was less than 3% compared to the measured data.
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