宏观经济政策与股票市场流动性:来自尼日利亚的证据

K. Onyele, E. Ikwuagwu, Charity Onyekachi-Onyele
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引用次数: 2

摘要

本研究利用1986年至2018年的年度时间序列数据,调查了宏观经济政策对尼日利亚股市流动性的影响。具体而言,本文分析了货币政策和财政政策的相互作用对股市流动性的影响。股票市场流动性是用股票换手率来衡量的。单位根检验证实变量为混合积分,需要应用ARDL技术。ARDL边界检验表明,财政、货币政策工具与股市换手率之间存在长期关系。长期来看,我们发现政府债务对股市换手率有显著的负向影响,货币政策利率、现金准备金率等货币政策变量对股市换手率有显著的影响,但只有政策利率是正的。在短期内,除了货币政策利率在一个周期滞后后显著,流动性比率在任何水平上都不显著外,所有解释变量都显著。ECM的结果表明,尼日利亚的股票市场流动性受到财政和货币政策工具相互作用的影响。因此,本文得出结论,严格执行宏观经济政策,以加强可持续和有效的金融市场,以改善股市流动性。
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Macroeconomic Policies and Stock Market Liquidity: Evidence from Nigeria
This study investigated the effect of macroeconomic policies on stock market liquidity in Nigeria using annual time series data that spanned from 1986 to 2018. Specifically, the paper analyzed how monetary and fiscal policies interactions affect stock market liquidity. Stock market liquidity was measured by stock turnover ratio. Unit root test confirmed that the variables were of mixed integration which necessitated the application of ARDL technique. The ARDL bounds testing revealed that a long-run relationship existed between fiscal and monetary policies instruments, and stock market turnover ratio. In the long-run, it was found that government debt had negative and significant effect on stock market turnover ratio while monetary policy variables such as monetary policy rate and cash reserve ratio had significant effect on stock market turnover, but only the policy rate was positive. In the short-run, all the explanatory variables were significant apart from monetary policy rate which was, though, significant after one period lag and liquidity ratio which was not significant at any level. The results of the ECM suggested that stock market liquidity was affected by the interactions of fiscal and monetary policies instruments in Nigeria. Consequently, the paper concluded that macroeconomic policies that would enforce sustainable and efficient financial market towards improving stock market liquidity be strictly implemented.
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审稿时长
20 weeks
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