去现金化的宏观经济学

A. Kireyev
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引用次数: 10

摘要

本文提出了一个简单的框架来分析去现金化的宏观经济影响。“去现金化”的定义是用可兑换存款取代纸币,它将影响所有关键的宏观经济部门。减现的总体宏观经济影响将取决于促进增长和抑制增长因素之间的平衡。本文从传统的储蓄-投资平衡出发,构建了一个四部门宏观经济框架。它纯粹是说明性的,目的是为系统地评估去现金化提供一个路线图。该框架被分解为实际、财政、货币和外部部门,然后在每个部门确定非现金化的潜在影响。最后,本文平衡了去现金化可能产生的积极和消极的宏观经济影响,并提出了能够增加其经济和社会效益,同时降低潜在成本的政策。
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The Macroeconomics of De-Cashing
The paper presents a simple framework for the analysis of the macroeconomic implications of de-cashing. Defined as replacing paper currency with convertible deposits, de-cashing would affect all key macroeconomic sectors. The overall macreconomic impact of de-cashing would depend on the balance of growth-enhancing and growth-constraining factors. Starting from a traditional saving-investment balance, the paper develops a four-sector macroeconomic framework. It is purely illustrative and is designed to provide a roadmap for a systematic evaluation of de-cashing. The framework is disaggregated into the real, fiscal, monetary, and external sectors and potential implications of de-cashing are then identified in each sector. Finally, the paper draws a balance on possible positive and negative macroeconomic implications of de-cashing, and proposes policies capable of augmenting its economic and social benefits, while reducing potential costs.
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