东欧与发达国家股票市场的时频联系:以维谢格拉德集团为例

D. Živkov, Emilija Mihajlović, Kristina Kostić
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引用次数: 2

摘要

本文确定了维谢格拉德集团四大股票市场与两大发达股票市场(德国和美国)之间的相互关系水平。我们试图在时域和频域上规定动态连接,为此我们采用小波相干方法。结果表明,在世界金融危机和欧洲主权债务危机期间,深红色区域普遍存在,即使在DAX-PX和DAX-WIG的高频区域(4天),以及部分DAX-BUX对也存在深红色区域。这表明维谢格拉德集团与DAX指数之间有着紧密的联系,而与美国指数的联系则略弱一些。斯洛伐克的SAX指数具有最广泛的低相关性区域,而无法发现传染的存在。这一发现表明斯洛伐克SAX指数与两个主要股票指数的同步运动最少,因此可以用于与DAX和标准普尔500的投资组合的多样化目的。
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Time-frequency nexus between the Eastern European and the developed stock markets: The case of Visegrad group
This paper determines the level of interrelationship between the four stock markets of Visegrad group and the two major developed stock markets (Germany and the US). We endeavor to stipulate the dynamic connection via time domain as well as frequency domain, and for that purposs we apply wavelet coherence methodology. The results indicate that dark-red areas prevail around the World financial crisis and the European sovereign debt crisis, and they exist even at the high frequency areas (4 days) at DAX-PX and DAX-WIG, and somewhat DAX-BUX pairs. It is an indication of strong links between Visegrad group and DAX index, while the ties with the American index are slightly weaker. Slovakian SAX index has the widest areas of low correlation, whereas the presence of contagion cannot be found. This finding suggests that the Slovakian SAX index has the least synchronized movements with the two major stock indices, and thus can be used for diversification purposes in portfolios with DAX and S&P500.
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