2020年第三季度俄罗斯国际收支

A. Bozhechkova, P. Trunin
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摘要

2020年第三季度,在出口交付量相对稳定的情况下,由于出口萎缩,俄罗斯的贸易顺差与去年同期相比大幅下降。然而,尽管有许多不利因素,经常项目余额仍然是有利的。话虽如此,7月至9月出现了资本净流出,这主要是由于地缘政治风险上升和投资者对发展中国家资产的兴趣下降后,对其他经济部门非居民的金融负债减少。因此,在2020年第三季度,卢布汇率下跌了14%,从年初开始下跌了29%。
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Russia's Balance of Payments in Q3 2020
In Q3 2020, Russia’s favorable trade balance plunged compared to the same period last year due to a contraction in exports under a relatively stable volume of export deliveries. Nevertheless, despite a combination of the most adverse factors, current account balance remained favorable. Having said that, in July-September there was net outflow of capital that was due primarily by a reduction in financial liabilities before non-residents of other sectors of economy in the wake of raising geopolitical risks and decline in the interest of investors towards assets of developing countries.As a result, in Q3 2020, ruble’s exchange rate dropped by 14% and from the start of the year – by 29%.
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