世界主要能源展望及二氧化硫排放数值预测方法

Nuray Tokgöz
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引用次数: 2

摘要

摘要世界能源委员会的报告指出,由于煤炭地理区域的广泛存在和储备能力,到2000年煤炭将成为世界第一能源。特别是固体燃料在初级发电(1980年占总投入的54%,1997年增加到66%)和一些关键工业部门,如钢铁、水泥和化学方面的投入日益占主导地位。然而,自1990年以来,由于煤炭工业的重组,欧盟的煤炭消费量正在下降。除了由于其他原因(经济和政治改革)的“独联体和中欧-东欧”以外,这是世界上唯一观察到这种趋势的地区。这些科学证据和观察表明,尽管经济意义上的石油储量正在减少,煤仍将是下个世纪最受欢迎的能源。除此之外,根据环境问题,为获得合适的方法和限度,煤的选煤、洗选、燃烧等技术发展迅速。在此基础上,根据煤的工艺参数(按煤[硬煤和褐煤]消耗量[C,吨]低热值[LHV, GJ/吨]、含水率[N, %]、硫含量[S, %]和灰分中硫含量[K, S, %]),推导出两种不同的方程,并用图表示出基本的SO2值。这些方程和模态图包含了1997年以来欧洲17个不同的中东欧国家的数据。很明显,煤炭消费大国同时也是大量二氧化硫价值的生产国。例如,独联体(8.85 × 106吨)、乌克兰(4.26 × 106吨)、波兰(3.11 × 106吨)、德国(2.36 × 106吨)、捷克斯洛伐克(2.27 × 106吨)。
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General Outlook of World Main Energy Resources and Numerical Approach for Prediction of SO2 Emission Value
Abstract It is stated in the report of the World Energy Committee that coal will be the first energy source in the year of 2000 because of reserve capacity and widespread existence of the coal geographic region. Solid fuels especially are increasingly dominated inputs for primary electricity generation (54% total input in 1980, and increasing to 66% in 1997) and in a few key industrial sectors, such as steel, cement and chemical. However, since 1990, coal consumption in the European Union was declining due to the restructuring coal industry. It was the only part of the world, except for the “CIS and Central—Eastern Europe” for other reasons (economical and political reforms), in which the trend was observed. These scientific evidences and observations indicated that coal would be the most favored energy source of the next century in spite of decreasing economic petroleum reserves. Besides of this, according to environmental problems, the technologies of coal preparing, washing, and combustion for obtaining appropriate methods and limits progressed fast. Based on these aspects, to provide numerical information on fundamental SO2 value, two different equations are derived and showed in nomogram based on coal technological parameters (according to coal [hard and brown coal] consumption [C, tons] lower heat value [LHV, GJ/tons], moisture content [N, %], sulphur content [S, %] and sulphur content in ash [K s , %]). These equations and nomograms contain data of 17 different Central and Eastern Western countries of Europe from 1997. It is obvious that large coal consumer's countries are also large amount SO2 value producer countries. For instance, CIS (8.85 × 106 ton), Ukraine (4.26 × 106 ton), Poland (3.11 × 106 ton), Germany (2.36 × 106 ton), and Czechoslovakia (2.27 × 106 ton.).
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