1951-2020年乌克兰南极维尔纳德斯基科考站极端温度指数的变化

B. Khrystiuk, L. Gorbachova, V. Shpyg, D. Pishniak
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引用次数: 1

摘要

在20世纪后期,与南极洲其他地区相比,南极半岛的变暖最为明显。然而,气温表现出显著的变化,这在最近几十年尤为明显。因此,研究南极半岛的气温变化趋势是十分重要的。本研究考察了乌克兰南极科考站的极端气温,该科考站位于南极半岛附近的阿根廷群岛加林德兹岛。利用1951—2020年逐日气温资料,利用11个极端气温指数,分析了极端气温的时间变化趋势。基于线性趋势分析和Mann-Kendall趋势检验,TXn、TNn、TN90p和TN90p指数呈上升趋势,fd0、ID0、TN10p、TX10p和DTR指数呈下降趋势。其中,FD0、ID0和TN10p的年递减量分别为- 0.427、- 0.452和- 0.465%,TXn和TNn的年递减量分别为0.164℃和0.201℃。TXx、TNn指标变化趋势无统计学意义。TX和TN的年平均差值(指数DTR)在- 0.029℃时呈不显著下降趋势。因此,在1951-2020年期间,乌克兰南极维尔纳德斯基科考站受到变暖的影响。
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Changes in extreme temperature indices at the Ukrainian Antarctic Akademik Vernadsky station, 1951-2020
In the late 20 th century, warming on the Antarctic Peninsula was most pronounced compared to other parts of Antarctica. However, air temperature showed a significant variability, which has become especially evident in recent dec-ades. Thus, the investigation of air temperature trends on the Antarctic Peninsula is important. This study examines the extreme air temperature at the Ukrainian Antarctic Akademik Vernadsky station, located on Galindez Island, Argentine Islands Archipelago, near the Antarctic Peninsula. For 1951 to 2020, based on the daily air temperature data, the temporal trends of extreme air temperature were analyzed, using 11 extreme temperature indices. Based on linear trend analysis and the Mann-Kendall trend test, the TXn, TNn, TN90p, and TN90p indices showed an upward trend, whereas theFD0, ID0, TN10p, TX10p, and DTR indices showed a downward trend. Among them, annually, FD0, ID0, and TN10p significantly decreased by – 0.427 days, – 0.452 days, and – 0.465%, respectively, whereas TXn and TNn increased by 0.164 ℃ and 0.201 ℃ , respectively. The indices TXx and TNn showed no statistically significant trends. The average annual difference between TX and TN (index DTR) showed a nonsignificant decreasing trend at – 0.029 ℃ year -1 . Thus, for the period of 1951-2020, the Ukrainian Antarctic Akademik Vernadsky station was subjected to warming.
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