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Hydrologic drought characteristics of selected basins in various climate zones of Lebanon 黎巴嫩不同气候带流域水文干旱特征
Q4 WATER RESOURCES Pub Date : 2023-11-07 DOI: 10.26491/mhwm/174194
El Tayara - Zobaida
1. Beran M.A., Rodier J.A., 1985, Hydrological aspects of drought: a contribution to the International Hydrological Programme, Studies and reports in hydrology, UNESCO-WMO, Paris, 149 pp. Google Scholar
1. Beran M.A, Rodier J.A, 1985,干旱的水文方面:对国际水文计划的贡献,水文研究与报告,联合国教科文组织-世界气象组织,巴黎,149页
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引用次数: 0
Comparison and combination of interpolation methods for daily precipitation in Poland: evaluation using the correlation coefficient and correspondence ratio 波兰日降水量插值方法的比较与组合:使用相关系数和对应比进行评价
Q4 WATER RESOURCES Pub Date : 2023-09-18 DOI: 10.26491/mhwm/171699
Krystyna Konca-Kedzierska, Joanna Wibig, Marta Gruszczyńska
1. Akima H., Gebhardt A., 2022, Interpolation of Irregularly and Regularly Spaced Data, Package “akima”, version 0.6-3.4, available at https://cran.r-project.org/web... (data access 08.09.2023). WWW Google Scholar
1. Akima H., Gebhardt A., 2022,不规则和规则间隔数据的插值,软件包“Akima”,版本0.6-3.4,可在https://cran.r-project.org/web…(数据访问08.09.2023)。WWW b谷歌学者
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引用次数: 0
Non-homogeneity of hydrometric data and estimating the rating curve 水文资料的非均匀性及评价曲线的估计
IF 0.6 Q4 WATER RESOURCES Pub Date : 2023-06-22 DOI: 10.26491/mhwm/168142
Teresa Jakubczyk, W. Szulczewski
One of the main tasks of contemporary hydrology is to plot the best possible rating curve, which has numerous applications in practical hydrological problems. The quality of the curve depends to a significant degree on the precision of hydrometric measurements and the precision in determining the relationship between discharge and the stage (water level). In this study, we engage the multidimensional problem of non-homogeneity of hydrometric data. The distances between a given point of measurement and the given cross-section proved to be highly diverse. Hence, we propose data transformation so that every measurement can be treated as taken in a given cross-section. The transformation allows partial homogenization of measurement data. An automatic non-linear method for estimating the rating curve is also proposed. The method has been tested on selected representatives of mountain, submontane, and lowland rivers of the Oder River catchment basin (Lower Silesia, Poland). Cross-sections selected for analysis were: Łąki on the Barycz R iver, Lądek Zdrój on the Biała Łądecka R iver, Jelenia Góra on the Bóbr River, Jakuszyce on the Kamienna River, and Łozy on the Kwisa River.
当代水文学的主要任务之一是绘制可能的最佳评级曲线,这在实际水文问题中有许多应用。曲线的质量在很大程度上取决于水文测量的精度和确定流量与水位(水位)之间关系的精度。在本研究中,我们涉及水文数据的非均匀性的多维问题。在给定的测量点和给定的横截面之间的距离证明是高度多样化的。因此,我们提出数据转换,使每一个测量可以被视为在一个给定的横截面。该变换允许测量数据的部分均匀化。本文还提出了一种自动估计额定曲线的非线性方法。该方法已在奥得河流域(波兰下西里西亚)的山地、亚山地和低地河流的选定代表中进行了测试。选择用于分析的断面为:Barycz R河的Łąki、Biała Łądecka R河的Lądek Zdrój、Bóbr河的Jelenia Góra、Kamienna河的Jakuszyce和Kwisa河的Łozy。
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引用次数: 0
Trends and fluctuations of river ice regimes in the Prypiat Basin, within Ukraine 乌克兰境内普里皮亚季盆地河流冰况的趋势和波动
IF 0.6 Q4 WATER RESOURCES Pub Date : 2023-06-09 DOI: 10.26491/mhwm/166632
L. Gorbachova, O. Afteniuk, B. Khrystiuk, O. Lobodzinskyi
Information about the formation, destruction, and duration of river ice regimes is especially important for hydropower, shipping, fisheries, etc. Research into modern trends in river ice regimes and their spatial and temporal fluctuations is essential, especially in a changing climate. This study examines the trends and fluctuations of air temperature and ice regimes based on series of observations in the Prypiat River basin within Ukraine. Air temperature data from 17 meteorological stations and ice data from 29 water gauges were analyzed. A complex analytical approach involving statistical and graphical methods was employed. The Mann-Kendall statistical test, mass curve, residual mass curve, and combined graphs were used in the study. In the Prypiat River basin within Ukraine, observations of mean monthly air temperature, ice occurrence, freeze-up, and their duration are homogeneous (quasi-homogeneous) and stationary (quasi-stationary). The quasi-homogeneous and quasi-stationary characteristics are explained by the presence in the observation series of only increasing and decreasing phases of long-term cyclical fluctuations, which are incomplete. The trends of air temperature and ice regime correspond strongly, indicating the defining role of air temperature in the formation of ice occurrence and freeze-up. Since the end of the 1990s, the warming phase of air temperature in the autumn-winter period determines the appearance of ice and freeze-up later in the year. In March, the warming trend in air temperature, which began after 1988, determines the freeze-up, break-up, and disappearance of ice earlier in the year. Thus, the duration of ice and freeze-up on the rivers has decreased.
关于河冰状态的形成、破坏和持续时间的信息对水电、航运、渔业等尤为重要。研究河流冰况的现代趋势及其时空波动是至关重要的,特别是在气候变化的情况下。本研究根据乌克兰普里皮亚季河流域的一系列观测,研究了气温和冰况的趋势和波动。分析了17个气象站的气温数据和29个水表的冰量数据。采用了一种复杂的分析方法,包括统计和图形方法。研究采用Mann-Kendall统计检验、质量曲线、剩余质量曲线和组合图。在乌克兰的普里皮亚特河流域,观测到的月平均气温、冰的发生、冻结及其持续时间是均匀的(准均匀的)和平稳的(准平稳的)。这种准均匀和准平稳的特征是由于观测序列中只存在不完全的长期周期波动的增减阶段。气温变化趋势和冰况变化趋势具有较强的对应关系,表明气温在冰的发生和冻结过程中起决定性作用。自20世纪90年代末以来,秋冬季气温的升温阶段决定了今年晚些时候冰和冻结的出现。从1988年以后开始的气温变暖趋势,决定了3月份海冰冻结、破裂和消失的时间提前。因此,河流结冰的时间缩短了。
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引用次数: 1
Assessing the impact of climate change on discharge in the Horyn River basin by analyzing precipitation and temperature data 通过降水和温度数据分析气候变化对霍林河流域流量的影响
IF 0.6 Q4 WATER RESOURCES Pub Date : 2023-04-24 DOI: 10.26491/mhwm/163286
O. Lobodzinskyi, Yevhen Vasylenko, Olha Koshkina, Y. Nabyvanets
It is important to investigate the hydrological consequences of current climate change. Hydrological responses to climate warming and wetter conditions include changes in discharge (frequency, amplitude, and volume). This paper describes current climate change and its impact on hydrological flow within the Horyn River basin. Daily air temperature and precipitation data obtained from the 17 meteorological stations located in and nearby the Horyn River basin, in combination with hydrological data (such as daily water discharges obtained from 9 water gauges), were used for the analysis of climate variability and its hydrological consequences. Analyses of meteorological variables and water discharges are crucial for the assessment of long-term changes in the river regime. Thiessen polygons were used to determine the area of influence of assigned specific meteorological stations, which affect the river ’ s catchments within the Horyn River basin. As a result of the trend analysis, it was observed that discharge within the Horyn River basin decreased over time. These results were congruent with the trends of precipitation data and air temperature data of the stations determined by the Thiessen polygons and basin boundaries. To understand current changes in the daily flow in the basin, changes in air temperature and precipitation for the period 1991-2020 were compared with the period of the climatic norm (1961-1990). A similar analysis was done for daily water discharges. Increasing air temperature and decreasing precipitation in the current period led to a significant decrease in discharges in the Horyn River basin, especially during the spring flood period.
研究当前气候变化的水文后果是很重要的。对气候变暖和湿润条件的水文响应包括流量的变化(频率、幅度和体积)。本文描述了当前气候变化及其对霍林河流域水文流量的影响。利用位于霍林河流域及其附近的17个气象站获得的日气温和降水数据,结合水文数据(如9个水位计获得的日水量),分析了气候变率及其水文后果。气象变量和水量的分析对于评估河情的长期变化至关重要。泰森多边形用于确定指定的特定气象站的影响范围,这些气象站影响霍林河流域内的河流集水区。趋势分析表明,随着时间的推移,霍林河流域内的流量逐渐减少。这些结果与由泰森多边形和盆地边界确定的台站降水资料和气温资料的变化趋势一致。为了了解流域日流量的变化,将1991-2020年的气温和降水变化与气候常态期(1961-1990)进行了比较。对每天的排水量也做了类似的分析。当期气温升高和降水减少导致霍林河流域流量显著减少,尤其是春洪期。
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引用次数: 1
Assessment of global ionosphere maps in view of ionospheric correction for coastal and inland altimetry: the case for average total electron content 基于沿海和内陆测高电离层校正的全球电离层图的评估:平均总电子含量的情况
IF 0.6 Q4 WATER RESOURCES Pub Date : 2023-03-16 DOI: 10.26491/mhwm/161815
W. Jarmołowski, P. Wielgosz, A. Krypiak-Gregorczyk, X. Ren
Several low-Earth orbit (LEO) satellites are equipped with dual-frequency altimeters, theoretically scanning the entire ionosphere in the nadir direction. These two frequencies enable the determination of ionospheric delay and, thus, total electron content (TEC) below the satellite orbit. This information helps in altimetric range determination but is limited to sea and ocean areas. Therefore, global and local ionospheric models are needed for ionospheric corrections over coastal regions and lands. At the same time, altimetry-derived TEC is an important source of validation data for global navigation satellite system (GNSS)-TEC models over the oceans, where the number of GNSS stations is limited. This study compares the application of a high-resolution regional GNSS-TEC model determined from Precise Point Positioning and modeled by least-squares collocation (PPPLSC), and global ionosphere maps (GIMs), in the determination of ionospheric corrections along coastal altimetry tracks. The ionospheric delay values from 5 models are then compared with altimetry-derived TEC from 3 satellites, in the region of southeastern Asia, during a time of moderate TEC values and solar conditions. The reason for the choice of area is that altimetric observations from coastal zones meet difficulties related to atmospheric corrections, e.g., ionospheric correction, which can be affected by the land in the altimeter footprint. For this reason, along with the rapid progress of inland satellite hydrology, we are encouraged to study the consistency of ionospheric delays in coastal regions. The study shows overall discrepancies of 30% of the entire ionospheric delay, which is 2-3 cm even in the case of 35 TEC unit (TECU = 10 16 el/m 2 ) values. For this reason, in the case of increased solar activity, the GIMs can have even less TEC consistency with the altimetry-derived TEC, resulting from different orbital altitudes, data gaps, and modeling techniques. The GIMs, modeled by low-order spherical harmonics, have particularly low resolution and do not represent well the equatorial ionization anomaly (EIA).
几颗低地球轨道(LEO)卫星配备了双频高度计,理论上可以在最低点方向扫描整个电离层。这两个频率可以测定电离层延迟,从而测定卫星轨道以下的总电子含量。这些信息有助于确定测高范围,但仅限于海洋和海洋区域。因此,需要全球和局部电离层模式来计算沿海地区和陆地的电离层修正。同时,基于测高的TEC是全球导航卫星系统(GNSS)-TEC模型在海洋上验证数据的重要来源,因为海洋上GNSS站的数量有限。本研究比较了由精确点定位和最小二乘配置(PPPLSC)建模的高分辨率区域GNSS-TEC模型与全球电离层图(GIMs)在确定沿海高程轨道电离层改正中的应用。然后将东南亚地区5个模式的电离层延迟值与3颗卫星在TEC值和太阳条件中等时期的测高所得TEC进行比较。选择面积的原因是,沿海地区的测高观测遇到了与大气校正有关的困难,例如电离层校正,这可能受到高度计足迹中陆地的影响。因此,随着内陆卫星水文的快速发展,我们被鼓励研究沿海地区电离层延迟的一致性。研究表明,整个电离层延迟的总体差异为30%,即使在35 TEC单位(TECU = 10 16 el/ m2)值的情况下,也有2-3厘米的差异。因此,在太阳活动增加的情况下,由于轨道高度、数据差距和建模技术的不同,GIMs的TEC与测高所得TEC的一致性可能更低。用低阶球面谐波模拟的赤道电离异常分辨率特别低,不能很好地反映赤道电离异常(EIA)。
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引用次数: 1
Analyzing the derecho system over Poland on 11 August 2017. Preface to the topical issue 分析2017年8月11日波兰上空的derecho系统。主题问题的序言
IF 0.6 Q4 WATER RESOURCES Pub Date : 2023-02-22 DOI: 10.26491/mhwm/161546
Mateusz Taszarek, M. Ziemianski
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引用次数: 0
Influence of computational grid resolution on the quality of forecasts of dangerous convection phenomena: a case study of August 11, 2017 计算网格分辨率对危险对流现象预报质量的影响——以2017年8月11日为例
IF 0.6 Q4 WATER RESOURCES Pub Date : 2023-02-07 DOI: 10.26491/mhwm/159068
A. Mazur, G. Duniec
,
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引用次数: 1
Using ALARO and AROME numerical weather prediction models for the derecho case on 11 August 2017 使用ALARO和AROME数值天气预报模式对2017年8月11日derecho天气进行预报
IF 0.6 Q4 WATER RESOURCES Pub Date : 2023-02-03 DOI: 10.26491/mhwm/156260
M. Kolonko, Małgorzata Szczęch-Gajewska, B. Bochenek, G. Stachura, Piotr Sekula
On average, a derecho occurs once a year in Poland while bow echoes happen several times per year. On 11 August 2017, severe meteorological phenomena were observed in Poland, including extremely strong wind gusts. We focused especially on the convective windstorm of a derecho type which occurred on that date in northern and north-western Poland. A rapidly moving mesoscale convective system (MCS) resulted in a bow echo, a mesoscale convective vortex (MCV), and finally fulfilled the criteria for a derecho. To establish whether our operational models in the Institute of Meteorology and Water Management, National Research Institute (IMGW-PIB) could reproduce a derecho of such intensity as that of 11 August 2017, the results from two mesoscale numerical weather prediction models were analyzed. The Application of Research to Operation at Mesoscale (AROME) and the ALADIN & AROME (ALARO) models were applied in the non-hydrostatic regime. We also examine how models differ with respect to mesoscale convective system drivers (such as vertical wind shear and convective available potential energy) and representation of deep convection (e.g., vertical velocities, cold pool generation). Forecasts are compared with observations of wind gusts and radar data. Severe weather phenomena, such as rear inflow jet and cold pool, were predicted by both models, visible on the maps of the wind velocity at 850 and 925 hPa pressure levels and on the map of air temperature at 2 m above the ground level, respectively. Relative vorticity maps of the middle and lower troposphere were analyzed for understanding the evolution of MCV.
平均而言,波兰每年发生一次derecho,而bow回声每年发生几次。2017年8月11日,波兰观测到恶劣气象现象,包括强风。我们特别关注当天在波兰北部和西北部发生的德雷科型对流风暴。快速移动的中尺度对流系统(MCS)产生弓形回波,即中尺度对流涡(MCV),最终满足消回波的标准。为了确定我们在国家科学研究院气象与水管理研究所(IMGW-PIB)的业务模式是否可以再现2017年8月11日这样强度的回波,我们分析了两个中尺度数值天气预报模式的结果。在非流体静力状态下应用了研究与中尺度操作的应用(AROME)和ALADIN & AROME (ALARO)模式。我们还研究了模式在中尺度对流系统驱动因素(如垂直风切变和对流有效势能)和深层对流表征(如垂直速度、冷池生成)方面的差异。预报与阵风观测和雷达资料进行比较。在850 hPa和925 hPa气压水平的风速图和高于地面2 m的气温图上,两种模式分别预测了后入流急流和冷池等恶劣天气现象。分析了对流层中下层的相对涡度图,以了解中低压的演变过程。
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引用次数: 2
Reducing flood hazard by effective polder operation: A case study of the Golina polder 通过有效的圩田作业减少洪水危害:以戈利纳圩田为例
IF 0.6 Q4 WATER RESOURCES Pub Date : 2022-11-30 DOI: 10.26491/mhwm/156516
Albert Malinger, Małgorzata Wawrzyniak, Maksymilian Rybacki, T. Dysarz, Ewelina Szałkiewicz
The aim of the study was to determine an effective variant of operation of the Golina polder to reduce flood hazard in the Warta River valley. We implemented a trial-and-error method for the development of computational variants. Our approach was based on staged analyses of alternatives, which took into account different locations and parameters of the inlet and outlet-controlling structures. Various control scenarios for flooding and draining the polder were also considered. A hybrid hydrodynamic model consisting of a 1D part for the main river area and a 2D part for the polder area was used for calculations. The model was built based on a digital elevation model (1 m resolution) and channel sections of the Warta River. The calibration was based on data collected during the flood in 2010 from the water gauge Sławsk (located directl y at the Warta River) and water surface elevation measurements carried out in the polder area. Alternatives in subsequent stages were determined based on the results of previous stages, as well as experiences from the 2010 flood and consultations with the Regional Water Management Board in Poznań. The performance of the alternatives was evaluated according to six criteria that described the effectiveness of the polder operation in terms of its practical use and effectiveness in reducing flood hazard. The results showed that our approach made it possible to identify an effective variant of polder operation. Additional calculations were also performed to determine the magnitude of flows for which flooding of the polder should be considered to reduce downstream flooding.
这项研究的目的是确定一种有效的戈利纳圩田作业方式,以减少瓦尔塔河流域的洪水灾害。我们为计算变体的开发实现了一种试错方法。我们的方法是基于对备选方案的分阶段分析,考虑到入口和出口控制结构的不同位置和参数。还考虑了各种控制圩田的洪水和排水方案。采用主河区一维部分和圩区二维部分的混合水动力模型进行计算。该模型是基于1米分辨率的数字高程模型和瓦尔塔河的河道断面建立的。校准基于2010年洪水期间从水位计Sławsk(直接位于瓦尔塔河)收集的数据和在圩区进行的水面高程测量。后续阶段的替代方案是根据前几个阶段的结果,以及2010年洪水的经验和与波兹纳瓦地区水资源管理委员会的磋商确定的。根据六个标准对备选方案的性能进行评估,这些标准描述了圩田作业在实际使用和减少洪水危害方面的有效性。结果表明,我们的方法使识别圩田作业的有效变体成为可能。还进行了额外的计算,以确定流量的大小,其中应考虑圩田的洪水,以减少下游的洪水。
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引用次数: 2
期刊
Meteorology Hydrology and Water Management-Research and Operational Applications
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