与贸易有关议程中的环境问题。来自罗马尼亚的证据

Aurel Burciu, Rozalia Kicsi, I. Condratov
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引用次数: 2

摘要

在过去的几十年里,作为经济增长的主要驱动力之一的贸易和环境质量之间的决定问题产生了困境和辩论,这些问题已经超出了学术兴趣领域,并在国际组织和政界得到了普遍存在。在我们的研究中,我们的目标是测试罗马尼亚经济专业化与其部分环境问题之间可能存在的关系。利用1990年至2014年的一系列统计数据,我们首先检验了国民收入与污染物(二氧化硫)排放之间假设的反比关系,即我们所知的环境库兹涅茨曲线。在罗马尼亚的情况下,结果证实了这种倒曲线的存在。其次,利用商品贸易专业化指数,我们对罗马尼亚通过贸易进行生产和消费的专业化可能对污染水平产生的影响提出了质疑。我们得出的结论是,1990年后罗马尼亚的去工业化远非一种“创造性破坏”,而是一种过早的去工业化。在这种背景下,这种演变不能完全归因于经济增长,而必须从更广泛的角度来分析,因为这是一系列决定因素的结果。
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Environmental Issues on The Trade-Related Agenda. Evidences from Romania
During the last decades, the problem of determination between trade, as one of the main driver of economic growth, and the quality of the environment has born dilemmas and debates which have exceeded the area of academic interest and have gained prevalence in international organizations and political circles. In our study, we aim to test the existence of a possible relations between the specialization of the Romanian economy and part of its environmental problems. Using the series of statistical data available for 1990-2014, firstly we have tested the hypothetical inverse relationship between national income and emissions of pollutants (SO2), or what we know as the Environmental Kuznets Curve. In the case of Romania, the results have confirmed the existence of such an inverted curve. Secondly, using the Merchandise Trade Specialization Index, we have questioned the possible influence of Romanian specialization in the production and consumption through trade on the pollution level. We draw the conclusion that far from being a kind of ”creative destruction”, Romanian deindustrialization after 1990 is rather a form of premature deindustrialization. In such a context, this evolution cannot be attributed exclusively to the economic growth, but it must be analyzed from a wider perspective, as a result of a complex of determinants.
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