能源使用、工业化、森林面积和二氧化碳排放之间的关系:来自俄罗斯的新见解

A. Raihan, Almagul Tuspekova
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引用次数: 45

摘要

温室气体(GHG)排放,特别是二氧化碳(CO2)排放,是全球气候变化的重要因素,进而威胁到环境、发展和可持续性。目前的研究考察了俄罗斯的能源消耗、工业化和森林覆盖之间的关系,以及该国的二氧化碳排放总量。采用自回归分布滞后(ARDL)边界检验技术和动态普通最小二乘(DOLS)方法对1990 - 2020年的时间序列数据进行了检验。使用ARDL界限检验发现变量之间存在协整的证据。预计能源消费和工业化每增加1%,俄罗斯的二氧化碳排放量将分别增加1.3%和0.23%。此外,据估计,从长远来看,森林面积增加1%可能导致二氧化碳排放量减少4.29%。本文提出了俄罗斯通过使用可再生能源、绿色工业和可持续森林管理来减少排放和确保环境可持续性的政策。
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Nexus between energy use, industrialization, forest area, and carbon dioxide emissions: New insights from Russia
Greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions, especially carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions, contribute significantly to global climate change, which in turn threatens the environment, development, and sustainability. The current study examines the nexus between Russia's energy consumption, industrialization, and forest cover in terms of the country's total CO2 emissions. The Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) bounds testing technique and the Dynamic Ordinary Least Squares (DOLS) methodology were used to examine time series data from 1990 to 2020. Evidence of cointegration between the variables was found using the ARDL bounds test. An increase of 1% in energy consumption and industrialization is predicted to result in an increase of 1.3% and 0.23% in CO2 emissions in Russia. In addition, it has been estimated that a 1% increase in forest area might lead to a 4.29% reduction in CO2 emissions in the long run. This article proposed policies to reduce emissions in Russia and assure environmental sustainability through the use of renewable energy sources, green industry, and sustainable forest management.
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期刊介绍: Journal of environmental science and economics (JESCAE), ISSN: 2832-6032 is an open access peer-reviewed journal that considers articles and reviews articles on all aspects of environmental economics. Aim and Scope Journal of Environmental Science and Economics is an international scholarly refereed research journal that aims to promote the theory and practice of environmental economics, Sustainability research, technological innovation, and economics. A broad outline of the journal''s scope includes; peer-reviewed original research articles, case, and technical reports, reviews and analyses papers, short communications and notes to the editor, in interdisciplinary information on the practice and status of research in environmental science, sustainability, technological innovations, and economics. The main aspects of research areas include, but are not limited to; Environmental pollution control and abatement technology, Sustainable and economic Development, sustainable consumption and Sustainability, Environmental and sustainability assessment, transport and fate of pollutants in the environment, concentrations and dispersion of wastes in air, water, and non-point sources pollution, atmospheric pollutants and trace gases, environmental impact assessment, industrial ecology, ecological and human risk assessment; improved energy management and auditing efficiency and environmental standards and criteria.
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