墨西哥州一级公共资本存量估计:1990-2015年

Francisco Salvador Gutiérrez Cruz
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引用次数: 1

摘要

本文对墨西哥的公共资本存量进行了估算。为此,我们使用了经合组织推荐的永续盘底模型,并加入了Almon(1999)的调整因子,Shiau等人(2002)以及Loría和de Jesús(2007)也对该模型进行了描述。使用联邦实体1990年至2015年期间州一级的公共投资数据(32),折旧率为9.07%。其结果是一系列与经济波动相一致的数据,因为实际投资的趋势紧随其后。同时也解决了永续盘存法固有的估计问题。
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Estimación del Stock de capital público en México a nivel estatal: 1990-2015

In the present paper an exercise of estimation of the stock of public capital in Mexico was conducted. For this purpose, the OECD-recommended perpetual inventories model was used, adding the adjustment factor of Almon (1999), also described in Shiau et al. (2002) and Loría and de Jesús (2007). Public investment data at the state level for the period 1990 to 2015 by the Federative Entity (32) were used and a depreciation rate of 9.07%.

The result is a series of data consistent with economic fluctuations, as the trend of real investment follows. It also solves the estimation problem inherent in the perpetual inventory method.

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