表格图:评估精确预测的新工具

IF 2 4区 心理学 Q2 PSYCHOLOGY, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Zeitschrift Fur Psychologie-Journal of Psychology Pub Date : 2009-01-01 DOI:10.1027/0044-3409.217.1.38
Ernest Kwan, Irene R. R. Lu, M. Friendly
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引用次数: 7

摘要

DOI 10.1027/0044-3409.217.1.38摘要。在关于零假设显著性检验的争论中,Paul Meehl强烈主张通过生成和评估精确的预测来评价理论(例如,Meehl, 1978)。运用五因素模型研究人格结构;麦克雷和约翰,1992)是一个重要的研究领域,在那里人们会遇到许多精确的预测。然而,评估这种预测的现有方法不允许研究人员非常详细地检查预测的结果。也就是说,很难确定估计值是如何与预测值不匹配的。正如Meehl所主张的那样,为了完善和改进理论,人们必须研究一个理论是如何无法预测的。为了促进FFM研究中更好的理论评估,我们提出了一个强大的新工具,称为表格图(Kwan, 2008a),它可以总结和澄清因素分析结果。具体来说,我们说明了表格图如何能够对FFM中的精确预测进行详细评估。
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Tableplot: A New Tool for Assessing Precise Predictions
DOI 10.1027/0044-3409.217.1.38 Abstract. In the debate over null hypothesis significance testing, Paul Meehl strongly advocated appraising theories through the generation and evaluation of precise predictions (e.g., Meehl, 1978). The study of personality structure through the five-factor model (FFM; McCrae & John, 1992) is an important area of research where one encounters many precise predictions. Extant methods of assessing such predictions, however, do not allow researchers to examine the outcome of the predictions in great detail. That is, it may be difficult to determine how estimates fail to match predicted values. As Meehl argued, one must examine how a theory fails to predict in order to refine and improve the theory. To promote better theory appraisal in FFM research, we present a powerful new tool, called a tableplot (Kwan, 2008a), that can summarize and clarify factor-analytic results. Specifically, we illustrate how the tableplot enables detailed appraisal of precise predictions in the FFM.
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来源期刊
Zeitschrift Fur Psychologie-Journal of Psychology
Zeitschrift Fur Psychologie-Journal of Psychology PSYCHOLOGY, MULTIDISCIPLINARY-
CiteScore
4.10
自引率
5.60%
发文量
37
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