基于马尔可夫和记忆的层间动力学的多路网络中的流行病传播

Miroslav Mirchev, I. Mishkovski, L. Kocarev
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引用次数: 1

摘要

许多信息和疾病的传播过程发生在由多个互连层组成的复杂网络上。网络结构、节点活动和传播动态之间的关系设置了一个阈值,超过该阈值,流行病就会持续下去。各层的网络结构可以采取不同的形式,如无标度或随机,这对流行阈值有很大的影响。同样,节点的层间迁移动态也在很大程度上影响阈值。在本研究中,我们考虑了以下层间动力学:马尔可夫过程和基于记忆的活动,这些活动创造了具有重尾分布的事件间时间,这通常在人类行为中观察到。结果表明,通过引入不活动层,可以用先前导出的多路网络表达式密切预测流行阈值。
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Epidemic spreading in multiplex networks with Markov and memory based inter-layer dynamics
Many spreading processes of information and diseases take place over complex networks that are composed of multiple interconnection layers. The relationship between network structure, nodes' activity and spreading dynamics impose a threshold above which an epidemic endures. The network structure of individual layers can take different forms, such as scale-free or random, which significantly impacts the epidemic threshold. Similarly, the nodes' inter-layer transition dynamics largely influences the threshold as well. In this study we consider an inter-layer dynamics following: a Markov process, and a memory based activity creating inter-event times with a heavy-tail distribution, which are typically observed in human behavior. It is shown that by introducing a layer of inactivity the epidemic threshold can be closely predicted with our previously derived expression for multiplex networks.
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