使用Mann-Kendall检验比较温度变异性

Ogunsola O.E., Dilau K.A., Ayokunnu O.D.
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引用次数: 2

摘要

极端温度方面的气候变化一直是全球关注的问题,尼日利亚也不例外。然而,对尼日利亚北部和南部的气候趋势比较的分析,特别是在温度变化方面,在现有的文献中很少发现。因此,本研究使用统计分析和Mann-Kendall检验作为评估温度趋势的非参数程序,分析和比较了尼日利亚远北和远南6个站点30年(1981年至2010年)的平均温度趋势。然而,从分析结果来看,在1%显著水平下,南方6个站点的Mann-Kendall检验的温度趋势都显著上升,而北方6个站点中有5个站点的温度趋势没有显著上升,但在5%显著水平下下降到4个站点。此外,相关性仅存在于具有显著温度趋势的台站之间。因此,根据这一观测结果,可以得出结论,尼日利亚南部的气候比北部更容易发生极端温度变化。
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Temperature Variability Comparison Using Mann-Kendall Test
Climate change in terms of extreme temperature has been a global concern, and Nigeria has not been an exception. However, analysis of climatic trend comparison between the northern and southern part of Nigeria, especially in terms of temperature variability is rarely found among the available works of literature. Thus, this work therefore analyzed and compared the average temperature trends of six stations each from the far north and south of Nigeria for 30 years (1981 to 2010) using statistical analysis and the Mann-Kendall test, as a nonparametric procedure in assessing the temperature trends. However, from the results of the analysis, it was observed that at a 1% significance level, the Mann-Kendall test of the temperature trend in all the six stations considered from the south was rising significantly, while for those in the north there was no significant temperature rise in five of the six stations considered which nevertheless dropped to four stations at 5% significant level. Moreover, correlations were observed to exist only amongst stations with significant temperature trends. Hence, based on this observation, it can be concluded that the climate in the southern part of Nigeria is more prone to extreme temperature variation than that of the northern part.
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来源期刊
Songklanakarin Journal of Science and Technology
Songklanakarin Journal of Science and Technology Multidisciplinary-Multidisciplinary
CiteScore
1.10
自引率
0.00%
发文量
0
审稿时长
25 weeks
期刊介绍: Songklanakarin Journal of Science and Technology (SJST) aims to provide an interdisciplinary platform for the dissemination of current knowledge and advances in science and technology. Areas covered include Agricultural and Biological Sciences, Biotechnology and Agro-Industry, Chemistry and Pharmaceutical Sciences, Engineering and Industrial Research, Environmental and Natural Resources, and Physical Sciences and Mathematics. Songklanakarin Journal of Science and Technology publishes original research work, either as full length articles or as short communications, technical articles, and review articles.
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