巴西生产分成合同的挑战:国际经验和文献综述能告诉我们什么?

Breno Barreto Medeiros, Renata Britto, F. Barsan
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摘要

继2006年在巴西发现巨大的盐下油藏后,巴西政府于2010年实施了一项新的财政制度,即生产分成合同(PSC),用于该地区的石油和天然气勘探和生产。PSC制度的引入给所有相关利益相关者的日常活动带来了挑战和不确定性。在此背景下,本文的目的是根据国际经验和文献综述,突出巴西行业参与者面临的主要挑战。与此同时,本文进一步明确了在实践中,我们预计这些风险中的大多数会成为现实的领域,例如PSCs的设计、实施和运营,以调查与PSCs实施相关的主要挑战。最值得注意的是,本文解决了监管机构和石油公司都需要的资源和能力要求,以便准确和合规地回收合格的成本。我们将国际经验分析的重点放在印度尼西亚,这是一个拥有成熟石油工业的司法管辖区,率先采用了成本回收PSC模式,并从印度尼西亚财政制度最近变化的前提和结果中吸取教训,如行业出版物所记载的那样。此外,本文还试图量化石油公司因不承认所有可收回成本而受到的财务影响,以及由于海上承包商成本纪律不佳或镀金行为而导致的政府收入损失的程度。结论是自第一轮盐下许可以来的主要改进,当时PSC的条款被认为对投资者来说相对繁重和有风险。我们还提请注意一些关键因素,这些因素近年来使盐下地区的投标环境更加透明和具有竞争性,同时使巴西政府能够保持相当大的收入份额和对资产的控制。
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Challenges with Production Sharing Contracts in Brazil: What the International Experience and Literature Review Can Tell Us?
Following the discovery of the giant Pre-salt play in Brazil in 2006, the Government implemented a new fiscal regime in 2010, namely the Production Sharing Contract (PSC), for the exploration and production of oil and gas in this area. The introduction of the PSC regime brought about challenges and uncertainties on the day-to-day activities for all stakeholders involved. In this context, the objective of this article is to highlight the main challenges faced by the industry participants in Brazil, based on international experiences and literature review. Concurrently, the paper adds more clarity on areas where, in practice, we expect the majority of these risks to materialize, such as the design, implementation and operation of PSCs, with a view to investigate the main challenges related to the implementation of PSCs. Most notably, the article addresses the resource and competency requirements that regulators and oil companies alike require to enable an accurate and compliant recovery of eligible costs. We focus our international experience analysis on Indonesia, a jurisdiction with a mature oil industry, which pioneered the cost recovery PSC model, and draw learnings from the premises and results of recent changes in the Indonesian fiscal regime, as documented in industry publications. Moreover, the article attempts to quantify the financial impact on oil companies for not recognizing all recoverable costs and the magnitude of government revenue losses arising from poor cost discipline or gold plating behaviors by offshore contractors. Conclusions are drawn on key improvements since the first pre-salt licensing round, when the terms of the PSC were considered relatively onerous and risky for investors. We also draw attention to the key factors which have enabled a more transparent and competitive bidding environment in the Pre-Salt in recent years, while allowing the Brazilian Government to maintain a significant share of revenues and control over the assets.
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