描述被宰杀的饲养场动物,收入,以及与报告的美国牛肉市场价格的关联

L. M. Horton, B. Depenbusch, D. Pendell, D. Renter
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引用次数: 3

摘要

我们的目标是描述被宰杀的饲养场牛的收入以及与美国牛肉市场每周报告价格的关联。在2年(2018年至2020年)的时间里,从堪萨斯州的4个饲养场收集了饲养场扑杀的观测数据(N = 2992)。来自美国不同牛肉市场的每周价格被用来评估与被淘汰牛肉价格的相关性。采用描述性统计、线性和广义线性混合模型来评价饲养场扑杀的特征。肌肉骨骼/创伤(49.7%)和呼吸系统疾病(40.9%)是最常见的扑杀原因。Culls的回报率为98.1%;那些因呼吸系统疾病或“其他”原因被淘汰的公司的收益回报率(分别为96.7%或96.3%)明显低于因肌肉骨骼/创伤而被淘汰的公司(99.1%)。平均收入[±95% CI]为434.81[427.22至442.40]美元/头(包括没有收入的扑杀);平均胴体价格为87.40[86.70 ~ 88.10]美元/英担。收入与几个市场指数显著相关,但大多数相关性相对较弱。在这个种群中,国家淘汰牛(Breaker[75%瘦肉];500磅(227公斤)以上的价格似乎是饲养场扑杀价格的总体最佳指标,饲养场扑杀胴体平均为每周扑杀牛胴体价格的74.6%。
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Description of feedlot animals culled for slaughter, revenue received, and associations with reported US beef market prices
Our objectives were to describe revenue received for feedlot cattle culled for slaughter and associations with reported weekly prices from US beef markets. Observational data on feedlot culls (N = 2,992) were collected from 4 Kansas feedlots over 2 years (2018 to 2020). Weekly prices from various US beef markets were used to evaluate correlations with prices received for culled animals. Descriptive statistics, and linear and generalized linear mixed models, were used to evaluate characteristics of feedlot culls. Musculoskeletal/trauma (49.7%) and respiratory disease (40.9%) were the most common reasons for culling. Culls returned revenue 98.1% of the time; those culled for respiratory disease or “other” reasons returned revenue significantly less frequently (96.7 or 96.3%, respectively) than those culled for musculoskeletal/trauma (99.1%). Mean revenue received [± 95% CI] was 434.81 [427.22 to 442.40] $/animal (culls returning no revenue included); and mean carcass price was 87.40 [86.70 to 88.10] $/hundredweight. Revenue was significantly correlated with several market indices, but most correlations were relatively weak. In this population, national cull cow (Breaker [75% lean]; over 500 lb [227 kg]) prices appeared to be the overall best indicator of feedlot cull prices, with feedlot cull carcasses averaging 74.6% of the weekly cull cow carcass price.
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