Covid-19大流行对伊斯兰和传统金融市场的影响

Saiyer Saed Aljaed
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摘要

最近全球新冠肺炎大流行对包括伊斯兰和传统股票市场在内的全球金融市场产生了令人不满的影响。本研究进行了一项实证检验,以调查2019冠状病毒病对伊斯兰和传统金融市场的影响程度,特别是市场活动之间的相互联系。从2020年6月6日至2022年9月27日,分两个主要时期从几个国家来源收集数据。该研究确定了不同变量之间的小波相关性,以检验大流行的影响。研究结果表明,与传统股票市场相反,新冠肺炎死亡人数是伊斯兰股票市场的一个重要决定因素。此外,新冠肺炎死亡人数与摩根士丹利资本国际(MSCI)新兴市场亚洲伊斯兰指数和摩根士丹利资本国际新兴亚洲指数呈正相关。在摩根士丹利资本国际海湾公司理事会(GCC)成员国中,汇率与原油之间的联系并不确定。然而,这对伊斯兰指数的影响很弱,而对传统指数的影响很大。这些发现有助于帮助投资者和市场优化投资和市场策略。
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Effects of the Covid-19 Pandemic on Islamic and Conventional Financial Markets
The recent global Covid-19 pandemic is resentfully affecting global financial markets which including both Islamic and conventional stock markets. This study conducted an empirical examination to investigate the extent to which Covid-19 result on both Islamic and conventional financial markets, particularly the interconnections within the market activities. Data were collected from several national sources from 6 June 2020 to 27 September 2022, in two main periods. The study determined wavelet correlations among different variables to examine the effects of the pandemic. The findingsshow that the number of Covid-19 deaths was a significant determinant factor within the Islamic stock markets, contrary to conventional stock markets. Moreover, the results showed a positive link between the number of Covid-19 deaths and the Morgan Stanley capital International (MSCI) emerging market Asia Islamic index and the MSCI emerging Asia index. The link between exchange rates and crude oil in MSCI Gulf Corporation Council (GCC) countries combined was uncertain. However, this had a weak effect on Islamic indices and a strong effect on conventional indices. These findings contribute to assisting both investors and the market in optimising investment and market strategies.  
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