伊朗有争议的政治:派系、外交政策和核协议

S. Kaya, Zeynep Şartepe
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引用次数: 1

摘要

本文试图通过关注“历史性核协议”(联合全面行动计划- JCPOA)来分析伊朗在后革命时代外交政策的演变,该协议有望确保伊朗核计划的和平性质。本文的目的是阐明伊朗自1979年伊斯兰革命以来一直在努力保持意识形态和实用主义之间的微妙平衡,以及其外交政策的变化和连续性。在这方面,霍梅尼、拉夫桑贾尼、哈塔米、艾哈迈迪内贾德和鲁哈尼分别采取的不同外交政策议程将在该国政治、经济和社会结构中出现的派系竞争的背景下进行研究。随着1997年改革派教士哈塔米当选总统,在国内寻求“伊斯兰民主主义”和伊朗融入世界政治的改革派和以回归伊斯兰革命思想为指导原则的保守派之间的长期竞争在革命后的伊朗变得明显。强硬派内贾德2005年的上台意味着伊朗内政和外交上的革命意识形态的回归,而支持改革的神职人员哈桑·鲁哈尼在2013年的胜利标志着伊朗通过核谈判与西方关系进入了一个新时代。
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Contentious Politics in Iran: Factions, Foreign Policy and the Nuclear Deal
This paper endeavors to analyze the evolution of Iran’s foreign policy in the post-revolutionary era by focusing on the ‘historic nuclear deal’ (Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action- JCPOA) which is expected to ensure the peaceful nature of Iran’s nuclear programme. The objective of the paper is to shed some light on Iran’s striving to maintain a delicate balance between ideology and pragmatism and the elements of change and continuity in its conduct of foreign policy since the Islamic Revolution of 1979. In this regard, different foreign policy agendas adopted respectively by Khomeini, Rafsanjani, Khatami, Ahmadinejad, and Rouhani will be examined within the context of factional rivalries which emerged out of the political, economic and social structure of the country. With the ascent of the reformist cleric Khatami to presidency in 1997, the long lasting rivalry between the reformist faction that seeks ‘Islamic democracy’ at home and Iran’s integration into the world politics, and the conservative faction whose guiding principle is the return to a revolutionary Islamic ideology, has become apparent in post-revolutionary Iran. While the hardliner Ahmadinejad’s rise to power in 2005 meant flashback to revolutionary ideology both in domestic and foreign affairs of Iran, the victory of pro-reform cleric Hassan Rouhani in 2013 marked the beginning of a new era in Iran’s relations with the West through nuclear negotiations.
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