作物模型性能评价统计指标的比较

Q3 Agricultural and Biological Sciences Revista Facultad Nacional de Agronomia Medellin Pub Date : 2021-09-01 DOI:10.15446/rfnam.v74n3.93562
Tatiana María Saldaña Villota, José Miguel Cotes Torres
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引用次数: 2

摘要

本研究对用于作物模型评估的常用统计方法进行了比较。利用二倍体马铃薯作物总干重观测数据集进行了个案研究,并从观测数据中获得了6个模拟数据集,旨在对实测数据进行预测。比较了决定系数、均方根误差、相对均方根误差、平均误差、一致性指数、修正一致性指数、修正一致性指数、建模效率、修正建模效率等统计指标。结果表明,决定系数不是一个有用的模型评价统计指标。均方根误差与相对均方根误差一起提供了一个很好的概念,说明在相同的变量和百分比单位中模拟的偏差有多大,并且在评估模型模拟的质量时,它们毫无疑问。
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Comparison of statistical indices for the evaluation of crop models performance
This study presents a comparison of the usual statistical methods used for crop model assessment. A case study was conducted using a data set from observations of the total dry weight in diploid potato crop, and six simulated data sets derived from the observationsaimed to predict the measured data. Statistical indices such as the coefficient of determination, the root mean squared error, the relative root mean squared error, mean error, index of agreement, modified index of agreement, revised index of agreement, modeling efficiency, and revised modeling efficiency were compared. The results showed that the coefficient of determination is not a useful statistical index for model evaluation. The root mean squared error together with the relative root mean squared error offer an excellent notion of how deviated the simulations are in the same unit of the variable and percentage terms, and they leave no doubt when evaluating the quality of the simulations of a model.
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来源期刊
Revista Facultad Nacional de Agronomia Medellin
Revista Facultad Nacional de Agronomia Medellin Agricultural and Biological Sciences-Agricultural and Biological Sciences (miscellaneous)
CiteScore
1.30
自引率
0.00%
发文量
34
审稿时长
16 weeks
期刊介绍: La Revista Facultad Nacional de Agronomía Medellín (RFNA), de la Universidad Nacional de Colombia, Sede Medellín, Facultad de Ciencias Agrarias, es una publicación científica editada desde el año 1939, en formato impreso y digital y de acceso abierto desde la web —sin costo para autores y lectores—. Está orientada a investigadores que crean conocimiento disciplinar y multidisciplinar que articula la ciencia y la tecnología para hacer más productivo el campo a nivel empresarial y de economía campesina. La Revista tiene como objetivo divulgar resultados de investigación mediante artículos originales, inéditos y arbitrados (peer review) de carácter científico que respondan a preguntas específicas y que proporcionen sustento y pruebas a una hipótesis, en aspectos relacionados con las Ciencias Agronómicas, Producción animal, Ciencias Forestales, Ingeniería Agrícola, de Alimentos y otras afines que contribuyan a la solución de los limitantes del agro a nivel nacional, regional e internacional. La Revista recibe y publica, sin ningún costo, artículos en idioma inglés de investigación, revisión, reseñas y cartas al editor. Desde el 2017 la periodicidad de publicación es cuatrimestral, se publican tres números al año con circulación nacional e internacional, en los siguientes períodos: Enero - Abril Mayo - Agosto Septiembre - Diciembre This journal does not charge APCs or submission charges.
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