南非的家庭储蓄和财富

IF 1.2 4区 管理学 Q3 ECONOMICS South African Journal of Economic and Management Sciences Pub Date : 2021-10-26 DOI:10.4102/sajems.v24i1.3764
F. Joubert, T. Van der Merwe
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引用次数: 0

摘要

背景:南非家庭储蓄行为的详细情况将使研究人员能够确定家庭是否主动尝试在财务上保护自己。目的:本文的目的是分析家庭储蓄,使用损益表(储蓄)和资产负债表(储蓄或财富)的方法,同时调查两者之间的联系。设定:认为家庭是“不储蓄者”,而没有真正深入研究细节、定义或原因。这个概念被证明是肤浅的,因为它忽略了各种相互作用的定义和度量问题。方法:采用描述性分析方法对1995年至2018年期间的家庭储蓄(流量)和储蓄(股票或财富)进行分析,重点关注宏观经济,数据来自南非国民账户体系(SNA)。结果:调查结果包括家庭净储蓄对国内生产总值(GDP)的长期下降,在2006年变为负值,因此出现了储蓄不足。相比之下,1995年至2018年期间,家庭财富平均名义增长了10.3%。关注这两个概念之间的联系,可以确认资产的净重估在支持财富增长方面发挥着突出作用,而储蓄的作用随着时间的推移而减弱。因此,强调需要进一步更新方法。需要对推动家庭收入和支出趋势的各种可能因素及其可持续性进行更多的研究。应详细评估家庭储蓄对总储蓄的贡献。
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Household saving and wealth in South Africa
Background: A detailed picture of the saving behaviour of South African households would enable researchers to determine whether households are proactively attempting to safeguard themselves financially.Aim: Of this article is to analyse household saving(s), using both an income-statement (saving) and a balance-sheet (savings or wealth) approach, while investigating the link between the two as well.Setting: The perception that households are ‘dis-savers’ without really delving into the details, definitions, or reasons why this may or may not be the case. This notion is proven superficial as it ignores various interacting definitional and measurement issues.Methods: A descriptive analytical methodology is applied to household saving (flow) and savings (stock or wealth) in the period 1995 to 2018, with the focus on macro-economics, while data are sourced from the South African System of National Accounts (SNA).Results: Findings include a long-term decline in net household saving to Gross Domestic Product (GDP), which turned negative in 2006, so that dissaving occurred. In contrast, household wealth recorded an average nominal increase of 10.3% in the period 1995 to 2018. Focusing on the link between the two concepts, it is confirmed that net revaluation of assets plays a prominent role to support the rise in wealth, while the role of saving diminishes over time. Therefore, the need for additional methodological updates is highlighted. More research is required on the various possible factors driving household income and expenditure trends, and their sustainability. The contribution of household saving to total saving should be evaluated in detail.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
2.30
自引率
9.10%
发文量
29
审稿时长
52 weeks
期刊介绍: The South African Journal of Economic and Management Sciences (SAJEMS) is a leading South African-based publication for interdisciplinary research in the economic and management sciences. The journal publishes and disseminates high-quality academic articles that contribute to the better understanding of the interaction between economic, environmental and social perspectives as applicable to the broader management sciences in an African environment. The editorial board therefore invites authors to submit their research from areas such as economics, finance, accounting, human capital, marketing and other related disciplines that break down common intellectual silos and prepares a new path for debate on the operation and development of sustainable markets and organisations as relevant to the broader African context.
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