Michał Kresak
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货币乘数——概念、限制与批判本文介绍了现代经济中的货币创造过程,包括中央银行和商业银行在这一过程中的作用。货币乘数的概念是在20世纪70年代以来美联储货币政策的背景下描述和设定的。特别值得注意的是,在2008年危机爆发后,伴随着量化宽松政策,M1乘数降至1以下。然后,讨论了商业银行在货币创造过程中阻碍乘数潜力充分发挥的主要制约因素:银行盈利能力和竞争力、银行挤兑风险、货币需求、信用抵押品限制和货币政策限制、审慎监管以及银行客户行为。本文还报道了对乘数方法的批评论点,并建议将现代经济中的货币供给视为一种内生决定的现象:首先,商业银行根据市场情况尽可能多地发放信贷,从而创造货币;然后,他们转向央行提供储备。后者作为最后贷款人提供储备货币基础,目的是控制利率,而不是货币数量本身。这些结论对货币政策和经济教育具有重要意义,因为货币供应的内生方法可以解释为什么量化宽松政策没有自动转化为信贷扩张和价格通胀的大幅增加,这与一些人的担忧相反。
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Mnożnik kreacji pieniądza – pojęcie, ograniczenia i krytyka
Money multiplier — the concept, limitations and criticismThe article presents the money creation process in the modern economy, including the role of the central bank and commercial banks in this process. The concept of money multiplier is described and set in the context of Fed’s monetary policy since 1970s. Special attention is paid to the decrease of the M1 multiplier below the value of one, which accompanied the quantitative easing after the crisis arousal in 2008. Then, the main constraints are mentioned of commercial banks in the process of money creation impeding the full utilization of the multiplier potential: bank profitability and competitiveness, risk of bank runs, demand for currency, limitations concerning credit collaterals and those resulting from monetary policy, prudential regulations, and the behaviors of bank clients. The paper also reports on arguments critical toward the multiplier approach and suggests to perceive the money supply in the modern economy as an endogenously determined phenomenon: first, commercial banks grant as many credits thus creating money as they can owing to the market situation; then, they turn to the central bank to provide reserves. The latter provides reserves monetary base as the lender of last resort, aiming to control the interest rate, and not money quantity itself. The conclusions are significant for monetary policy and economic education, as the endogenous approach to money supply can explain why the quantitative easing, contrary to some concerns, did not automatically translate into a considerable increase of credit expansion and price inflation.
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