芬兰和瑞典将成为什么样的北约盟友?

IF 1.5 3区 社会学 Q2 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Survival Pub Date : 2022-11-02 DOI:10.1080/00396338.2022.2150430
W. Alberque, Benjamin Schreer
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引用次数: 1

摘要

除非土耳其否决,芬兰和瑞典将在2023年6月北约维尔纽斯峰会之前成为正式成员国。两国都面临着政治、军事和国防工业方面的选择,每个国家和联盟的利益和机会成本都不同,这取决于他们选择的是低、中还是高的雄心。双方都可能采取中等水平的雄心,为与其他盟国的合作开辟一系列新领域,并加强整个联盟。鉴于这将带来巨大的政治、财政和人员成本,短期内不太可能有高水平的雄心。然而,它最终可能成为现实。
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What Kind of NATO Allies Will Finland and Sweden Be?
Abstract Barring a Turkish veto, Finland and Sweden will join NATO as full members prior to the Alliance’s Vilnius Summit in June 2023. Both confront several political, military and defence-industrial choices regarding their membership, with different benefits and opportunity costs for each country and the Alliance depending on whether they select a low, medium or high level of ambition. Both are likely to adopt a medium level of ambition, opening up a range of new areas for cooperation with other allies and strengthening the Alliance as a whole. A high level of ambition is not likely in the short term, given the substantial political, financial and personnel costs it would entail. Nevertheless, it could eventually materialise.
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来源期刊
Survival
Survival Multiple-
CiteScore
2.10
自引率
16.70%
发文量
88
期刊介绍: Survival, the Institute"s bi-monthly journal, is a leading forum for analysis and debate of international and strategic affairs. With a diverse range of authors, thoughtful reviews and review essays, Survival is scholarly in depth while vivid, well-written and policy-relevant in approach. Shaped by its editors to be both timely and forward-thinking, the journal encourages writers to challenge conventional wisdom and bring fresh, often controversial, perspectives to bear on the strategic issues of the moment. Survival is essential reading for practitioners, analysts, teachers and followers of international affairs. Each issue also contains Book Reviews of the most important recent publications on international politics and security.
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