俄罗斯和世界:2020年IMEMO预测

IF 1 Q3 POLITICAL SCIENCE New Perspectives Pub Date : 2020-09-16 DOI:10.1177/2336825X20954758

S. Afontsev, I. Kobrinskaya, G. Machavariany, A. Zagorski, V. Zhuravleva, I. Zviagelskaya, K. Voda, N. Kozhanov, A. Davydov, O. Davydov, S. Dmitriev, A. Lomanov, S. Lukonin, D. Malysheva, V. Mikheev, N. Rabotiazhev, I. Svistunova, I. Ibragimov, S. Kislitsin, E. Solovyev, E. Kuzmina, N. Surkov, N. Toganova, S. Utkin, A. Fedorovsky, B. Frumkin, V. Shvydko, YE Kanaev, L. Samarskaya

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引用次数: 3

摘要

编辑们不得不对国际气象组织于2020年1月初发布的年度“俄罗斯与世界”预测的节略版进行重大调整。然而，在2020年3月之前发布的众多预测中，没有一个在潜在的“黑天鹅”因素中考虑到2019冠状病毒病造成的全球情景。没有人预料到大流行的规模及其对世界经济和贸易的影响，包括石油价格下跌和金融市场的反应。

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Russia and the world: 2020 IMEMO forecast

The editors had to make significant adjustments to this abridged version of IMEMO’s annual ‘Russia and the World’ forecast published in early January 2020. However, none of the numerous forecasts published until March 2020 had been anywhere close to considering, among the potential ‘black swan’ factors, the global scenario caused by COVID-19. No one had anticipated the scale of the pandemic and its consequences for the world economy and trade, including the fall in oil prices and the reaction of financial markets.

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来源期刊

New Perspectives POLITICAL SCIENCE-

CiteScore

1.50

自引率

0.00%

发文量

期刊介绍： New Perspectives is an academic journal that seeks to provide interdisciplinary insight into the politics and international relations of Central and Eastern Europe. New Perspectives is published by the Institute of International Relations Prague.