{"title":"基于复合分位数回归的风险估计","authors":"Eliana Christou, Michael Grabchak","doi":"10.1016/j.ecosta.2022.04.004","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>New methods for the estimation of the popular risk measures expected shortfall (ES) and Value-at-Risk (VaR) are introduced. These are based on a novel variant of composite quantile regression (CQR), which allows for the simultaneous estimation of quantiles at several levels at once. An extensive simulation study is performed, along with a data analysis based on two major US market indices and two financial sector stocks. The results suggest that the method has a good finite sample performance. This is the first methodology to use CQR for risk estimation.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":54125,"journal":{"name":"Econometrics and Statistics","volume":"33 ","pages":"Pages 166-179"},"PeriodicalIF":2.0000,"publicationDate":"2025-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Risk Estimation With Composite Quantile Regression\",\"authors\":\"Eliana Christou, Michael Grabchak\",\"doi\":\"10.1016/j.ecosta.2022.04.004\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<div><div>New methods for the estimation of the popular risk measures expected shortfall (ES) and Value-at-Risk (VaR) are introduced. These are based on a novel variant of composite quantile regression (CQR), which allows for the simultaneous estimation of quantiles at several levels at once. An extensive simulation study is performed, along with a data analysis based on two major US market indices and two financial sector stocks. The results suggest that the method has a good finite sample performance. This is the first methodology to use CQR for risk estimation.</div></div>\",\"PeriodicalId\":54125,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Econometrics and Statistics\",\"volume\":\"33 \",\"pages\":\"Pages 166-179\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":2.0000,\"publicationDate\":\"2025-01-01\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Econometrics and Statistics\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2452306222000442\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q2\",\"JCRName\":\"ECONOMICS\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Econometrics and Statistics","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2452306222000442","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q2","JCRName":"ECONOMICS","Score":null,"Total":0}
Risk Estimation With Composite Quantile Regression
New methods for the estimation of the popular risk measures expected shortfall (ES) and Value-at-Risk (VaR) are introduced. These are based on a novel variant of composite quantile regression (CQR), which allows for the simultaneous estimation of quantiles at several levels at once. An extensive simulation study is performed, along with a data analysis based on two major US market indices and two financial sector stocks. The results suggest that the method has a good finite sample performance. This is the first methodology to use CQR for risk estimation.
期刊介绍:
Econometrics and Statistics is the official journal of the networks Computational and Financial Econometrics and Computational and Methodological Statistics. It publishes research papers in all aspects of econometrics and statistics and comprises of the two sections Part A: Econometrics and Part B: Statistics.