常压碳氢化合物储罐维修服务的财务规划

JoseÌ Eduardo., Heitor Federico Honda
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摘要

资源调度,特别是当应用于碳氢化合物填充的常压储罐时,给规划专业人员带来了挑战。当出现新项目时,重要的是保持新成本的一致性,并与公司过去的投资组合保持一致。一个不健全的财务计划会导致合同中的问题以及公司的日常活动。虽然有时它不像经营损失那样容易被察觉,但人们很容易看到,这种错误的预测总是导致不正确的资源分配,从而导致公司资金的财务滥用。这种担忧对巴西的石油工业来说尤其如此,尤其是在运输部门。项目的庞大规模和涉及的资产——主要是由于该国的大陆领土——使得任何偏差都至关重要。因此,建立一个可靠的方法,以便获得参数和预见资源支出以及运营影响,对于试图评估机会,目标,资源分配和回报率的公司将具有很大的价值。在目前的研究中,作者评估了来自巴西一家知名管道公司的30多个实物金融项目计划。从这大量的项目时间表中,根据它们在复杂性和投资规模上的相似性,进一步选择了20个项目进行更详细的分析。然后根据项目的总资本和时间支出对项目进行规范化。由此产生的标准化项目进度表为本文介绍的方法提供了基础。本文提出的结果方法旨在协助规划专业人员推断新项目未来的财务需求,只要尊重相似性约束。该技术能够为工程师、规划专业人员和管理人员提供更明智的决策数据。此外,该方法要求在公司的投资组合中包含新项目时必须更新结果数据库。为了提供实际的信息,数据库应该获得贝叶斯特征。
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Financial Planning of Maintenance Services for Atmospheric Hydrocarbon Filled Tanks
Resource scheduling, particularly when applied to hydrocarbon filled atmospheric tanks, challenges planning professionals. When presented with new projects, it is important to maintain the new costs coherent and in line with the company's past portfolio. An ill formed financial schedule leads to problems within contracts as well as in the company's regular activities. Although sometimes it is not as easily perceived as operational losses, one can easily see that such wrong predictions invariably lead to incorrect resource allocation leading to financial misuse of the company's funds. Such concern is notably true for the Brazilian petroleum industry, especially within the transport sector. The sheer size of the projects and the assets involved – mainly due to the country’s continental territory - make any deviation of critical importance. Therefore, to establish a solid methodology in order to obtain parameters and foreseen the resource expenditure as well as operational impacts would be of great value for companies trying to assess opportunities, targets, resource allocation and return rates. Throughout the current research, the authors assessed over thirty physical-financial project plans from a well-known Brazilian pipeline company. From this bulk of projects schedules, twenty were further selected for a more detailed analysis based on similarities - among them - in complexity and investment sizes. The projects were then normalized according to their total capital and time expenditure. The resulting normalized project schedules provided the basis for the methodology presented through the text. The resulting methodology, presented in this paper, aims at assisting planning professionals to infer future financial needs to new projects, as long as similarities constraints are respected. The technique is able to provide data to engineers, planning professionals and managers make a more informed decision. Furthermore, the methodology demands that the resulting database must be updated as new projects are included in the company's portfolio. The database should acquire a Bayesian character in order to provide actual information.
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