伊朗核项目与土耳其:不断变化的观念、利益和修正的需要

E. Caman, A. Dağcı
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引用次数: 2

摘要

在正义与发展党时代,土伊关系受益于地区事务的新活力,特别是在中东,基于积极的外交政策方针。在正义与发展党执政之前的几十年里,伊朗被土耳其精英视为意识形态上的对手和对手。新千年之后的十年见证了外交部长达武托卢领导的观念转变,他以在几个重要领域开展合作的方针取代了以不信任为基础的旧观念。然而,伊朗有争议的核项目是两国建立更密切关系的一个重要障碍。虽然伊朗核计划被国际社会视为严重威胁,但土耳其本着新的合作理念,积极倡导伊朗发展和平民用核技术的权利。因此,土耳其没有怀疑德黑兰秘密进行铀浓缩活动。阿拉伯之春是安卡拉误判伊朗观念的转折点。在利益分歧具体化之后,主要是在叙利亚问题上,安卡拉对德黑兰的立场发生了明显变化。安卡拉已经意识到,尽管土耳其对伊朗采取了新的紧缩措施,但与伊朗的分歧仍然存在。在“阿拉伯之春”期间和之后,由于两国利益的截然不同,特别是在叙利亚问题上的立场不同,以合作为导向的关系已经被潜在的冲突关系所取代。在这种认知转变之后,土耳其不得不做出回应并采取措施,特别是在国防政策上,这使得土耳其与美国和北约的合作更加紧密,而牺牲了其独立主动的地区政策。本文探讨了土耳其对伊朗持续和不断变化的看法的原因,并试图分析土耳其对伊朗政策的动机,因为它与安卡拉不断变化的安全观念有关,特别是在伊朗核和弹道技术计划方面。
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Irans Nuclear Program and Turkey: Changing Perceptions, Interests and Need for Revision
During the AKP era,Turkish-Iranian relations benefit from the new dynamism in regional affairs, especially in the Middle East,based on the pro-active foreign policy approach.In the decades before the AKP government, Iran was perceived by Turkish elites as the ideological other and rival. The decade after the new millennium witnessed a perception change led by Foreign Minister Davuto'luwho replaced the old mindset based on mistrust with a coursecenteredon cooperation in several significant fields. Nevertheless, Iran's disputed nuclear program is an important barrier for closerrelations. Although the Iranian nuclear program is perceived as a serious threat by the international community, Turkey has, in line with the new mindset of cooperation, vigorously advocated the right of Iran to develop peaceful civilian nuclear technology. Thus, Turkey has not suspected Tehran of secret uranium enrichment activities. The Arab Spring was the breaking point in Ankara's miscalculated Iran perception. After a concretization of differences of interests, mainly on Syrian issue, the position of Ankara toward Tehran has noticeably changed. Ankara has realized that the differences with Iran remain despite Turkey's constrictive new Iran approach. A cooperation-oriented relationship has been replaced with a latent conflictual one due to diametrical interests of both countries during and after the Arab Spring, in particular because ofdifferent positions onSyria. After this perception change, Turkey had to respond and take measures, especially in defense policy, which has driven Turkey into more intensive cooperation with the USA and NATO at the expense of her independent proactive regional policy. This article explores the reasons for the persisting and changing perceptions of Turkey on Iran and seeks to analyze the motivations of Turkey's Iran policy as it relates to Ankara's changing security perceptions, in particular with respect to Iranian nuclear and ballistic technology programs.
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