Study on Evolution Path of Shandong Power Grid Based on "Carbon Neutrality" Goal

Abstract

According to the national strategic objectives of "emission peak" in 2030 and "carbon neutrality" in 2060, the carbon neutrality scenario of Shandong power grid was set. NET- Power model was used to study the evolution path of Shandong power grid from 2020 to 2060 from the perspective of optimizing the structure of power source. According to the analysis results, the "emission peak" strategy in 2030 and "carbon neutrality" strategy in 2060 of Shandong power grid which would satisfy the requirements of carbon dioxide emission of the whole society were formed. The study results showed that the ratio of thermal power installed capacity would decrease rapidly in the carbon neutrality scenario, and nuclear power, wind power and photovoltaic power would become the main body of electric energy production. By 2060, the installed thermal power capacity would account for 15%, while its generating electric quantity would account for only 6%. Wind power installed capacity and generating electric quantity would account for 30% and 23%, and photovoltaic power installed capacity and generating electric quantity would account for 39% and 22%, respectively. Nuclear power generating electric quantity would account for 44%, making it the largest generation type.