Thermal State Prediction of Transformers Based on ISSA-LSTM

Chao Wu, Junlian Lin, Zongchao Yu, Jiangwei Yang, Xuan Liu
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Abstract

The top oil temperature is predicted to monitor the internal thermal state and operation risk of transformers. However, the existing top oil temperature prediction models usually have some disadvantages such as low accuracy, poor timeliness and difficult parameter adjustment. Therefore, a new transformer top oil temperature prediction model combining the improved sparrow search algorithm with LSTM is proposed in this paper, which can not only improve the prediction accuracy of the new model but also overcome the problems of time-consuming and laborious parameters adjustment. The advantages and a effectiveness of the proposed model are verified by simulation results using the dataset of a province.
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基于ISSA-LSTM的变压器热状态预测
通过对变压器顶油温度的预测,监测变压器内部热状态和运行风险。然而,现有的顶油温度预测模型往往存在精度低、时效性差、参数调整困难等缺点。因此,本文提出了一种将改进的麻雀搜索算法与LSTM相结合的变压器顶油温度预测新模型,不仅提高了新模型的预测精度,而且克服了参数调整费时费力的问题。利用某省数据集的仿真结果验证了该模型的优越性和有效性。
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