Price Prediction of Used Cars Using Machine Learning

Chuyang Jin
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引用次数: 5

Abstract

This paper aims to build a model to predict used cars' reasonable prices based on multiple aspects, including vehicle mileage, year of manufacturing, fuel consumption, transmission, road tax, fuel type, and engine size. This model can benefit sellers, buyers, and car manufacturers in the used cars market. Upon completion, it can output a relatively accurate price prediction based on the information that users input. The model building process involves machine learning and data science. The dataset used was scraped from listings of used cars. Various regression methods, including linear regression, polynomial regression, support vector regression, decision tree regression, and random forest regression, were applied in the research to achieve the highest accuracy. Before the actual start of model-building, this project visualized the data to understand the dataset better. The dataset was divided and modified to fit the regression, thus ensure the performance of the regression. To evaluate the performance of each regression, R-square was calculated. Among all regressions in this project, random forest achieved the highest R-square of 0.90416. Compared to previous research, the resulting model includes more aspects of used cars while also having a higher prediction accuracy.
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利用机器学习进行二手车价格预测
本文旨在建立一个基于车辆里程、制造年份、油耗、变速器、道路税、燃料类型、发动机尺寸等多个方面的二手车合理价格预测模型。这种模式对二手车市场的卖家、买家和汽车制造商都有好处。完成后,它可以根据用户输入的信息输出相对准确的价格预测。模型构建过程涉及机器学习和数据科学。使用的数据集是从二手车列表中抓取的。研究中采用了线性回归、多项式回归、支持向量回归、决策树回归、随机森林回归等多种回归方法,以达到最高的准确率。在实际开始构建模型之前,这个项目将数据可视化,以便更好地理解数据集。对数据集进行分割和修改以拟合回归,从而保证回归的性能。为了评估每个回归的性能,计算r平方。在本项目的所有回归中,随机森林的r平方最高,为0.90416。与之前的研究相比,该模型包含了更多二手车的方面,同时也具有更高的预测精度。
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