Intended and Unintended Effects of Public Incentives for Innovation. Quasi-Experimental Evidence From Italy

Giovanni Mellace, Marco Ventura
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Abstract

This paper provides an extensive empirical evaluation of a policy introduced in Italy at the end of 2012 to incentivize young innovative start-up firms. Using a Regression Discontinuity Design (RDD) we estimate the causal effects of the policy on the firms’ share of intangible assets, turnover, number of employees, and number of partners. Our results indicate that two years after its implementation the policy was effective only in increasing the number of partners, thus attracting private investments, but failed, at least in the short run, in boosting innovation or increasing employment. It follows that the new investors generated by the policy might have been attracted only by the tax benefit and had little interest in innovation.
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公共创新激励的预期效应和非预期效应。意大利的准实验证据
本文对意大利在2012年底推出的一项政策进行了广泛的实证评估,该政策旨在激励年轻的创新型初创企业。我们使用回归不连续设计(RDD)来估计政策对公司无形资产份额、营业额、员工数量和合伙人数量的因果影响。我们的研究结果表明,在实施两年后,该政策仅在增加合作伙伴数量从而吸引私人投资方面有效,但至少在短期内未能促进创新或增加就业。由此可见,该政策产生的新投资者可能只是被税收优惠所吸引,对创新兴趣不大。
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