Multi-stage Expansion Planning of Onshore Power Grid under Multiple Investment Agents Considering Construction Sequence of Offshore Wind Farms

Xingang Yang, Boyuan Cao, Chuanwen Li, Yang Du, Lingyu Guo, Zhongguang Yang
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引用次数: 1

Abstract

Contiguous and large-scale development of offshore wind power clusters is an important way for the industry to reduce costs and increase efficiency and promote offshore wind power to parity. To solve the coordination planning problem of onshore power grid expansion under the uncertain access time sequence of offshore wind farms, this paper proposes the Stackelberg game model of onshore power grid expansion planning considering slight altruistic balance of late return from the perspective of multiple investors in offshore wind farm integration system. First, the game relationship between different investment entities of offshore wind power access projects is analyzed, and a slightly altruistic Stackelberg game model is established that considers later returns. Then, aiming at the value evaluation of investment entities under the influence of uncertain factors, considering the uncertainty of offshore wind power prices and grid transmission prices, a value evaluation model for offshore wind power and onshore power grid expansion projects based on real options is constructed. Finally, the effectiveness of the proposed method is verified by numerical example simulation. The method proposed in this paper improves the adaptability of multi-stage expansion planning of onshore power grids under the influence of uncertain factors in the connection of offshore wind farms, and also provides a reference for flexible access planning of offshore wind farms under multi-agent investment and operation.
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考虑海上风电场建设顺序的多投资主体下陆上电网多阶段扩建规划
海上风电集群的连片、规模化发展是行业降本增效、促进海上风电平价发电的重要途径。为解决海上风电场接入时间序列不确定情况下陆上电网扩容的协调规划问题,本文从海上风电场集成系统多投资者角度出发,提出了考虑后期收益轻微利他平衡的陆上电网扩容规划Stackelberg博弈模型。首先,分析了海上风电接入项目不同投资主体之间的博弈关系,建立了考虑后期收益的略利他的Stackelberg博弈模型。然后,针对不确定因素影响下投资主体的价值评估问题,考虑海上风电价格和输电网价格的不确定性,构建了基于实物期权的海上风电和陆上电网扩建项目价值评估模型。最后,通过数值算例仿真验证了所提方法的有效性。本文提出的方法提高了陆上电网在海上风电场并网不确定因素影响下的多阶段扩容规划的适应性,也为海上风电场在多智能体投资运营下的柔性接入规划提供了参考。
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