Credit Loan Default Prediction Based On Data Mining

Chencheng Zhao, Xiang Xie
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Abstract

With the continuous development of economy and the improvement of people's level, personal credit loan develops rapidly. Because the problem of credit loan default is becoming more and more serious, the development of credit loan business needs an accurate prediction system. Banks have a lot of historical data, using data mining technology, from the basic information, social relations, consumption behavior, such as address information as much as possible in the massive amounts of customer data mining on the information of the borrowers, summed up the main factors influencing the personal credit risk prediction, and based on this model can effectively predict the personal credit risk related. The results show that the prediction accuracy of XGBoost model is higher than that of Logistic Regression model and Random Forest model.
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基于数据挖掘的信用贷款违约预测
随着经济的不断发展和人民生活水平的提高,个人信用贷款迅速发展。由于信用贷款违约问题日益严重,信用贷款业务的发展需要一个准确的预测系统。银行拥有大量的历史数据,利用数据挖掘技术,从基本信息、社会关系、消费行为、地址信息等尽可能多地在海量客户数据中挖掘借款人的信息,总结出影响个人信用风险预测的主要因素,并基于此模型可以有效地预测相关的个人信用风险。结果表明,XGBoost模型的预测精度高于Logistic回归模型和随机森林模型。
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